Canada polling average: Liberal Party of Canada 45.8% — Conservative Party of Canada 30.4% — Liberal Party of Canada +15.4Also: New Democratic 12.5% · Bloc Québécois 6.1% · Green 2.7% · People's 1.8%Pollytic average to 9 Nov 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.
46th Canadian federal election
General Election
The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
Liberal leads the polling average in Canada on 45.8%, 15.4 points ahead of Conservative (30.4%). The biggest shift over the past month is Liberal, down 1.2 points.
12 polls from 4 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Liaison Strategies, published 9 Nov 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.
Who governs now, and the parties behind the government.
Mark Carney
Prime Minister
Source: Wikipedia · composition: cabinet · checked 9 Nov 2026
2025 Canadian federal election ·
How people voted last time, and the change since the election before.
| Party | Vote | ± pp | Seats | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Party of Canada | 43.8% | +11.1 percentage points | 169 | |
| Conservative Party of Canada | 41.3% | +7.6 percentage points | 144 | |
| Bloc Québécois | 6.3% | −1.3 percentage points | 22 | |
| New Democratic Party | 6.3% | −11.5 percentage points | 7 | |
| Green Party of Canada | 1.2% | −1.1 percentage points | 1 | |
| People's Party of Canada | 0.7% | −4.2 percentage points | — | |
| Independent and No Affiliation | 0.2% | ±0.0 percentage points | — | |
| Christian Heritage Party of Canada | 0.1% | ±0.0 percentage points | — | |
| Rhinoceros Party | 0.0% | ±0.0 percentage points | — | |
| Reforge Party | 0.0% | new | — | |
| Others (7) | 0.1% | 0 |
Change in percentage points vs 2021 Canadian federal election. 343 seats. Source: Wikipedia