Finland / Parliamentary Election

2027 Finnish parliamentary election

Name: 2027 Finnish parliamentary election opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

Finland polling average: Suomen Sosiaalidemokraattinen Puolue 23.0% — Perussuomalaiset 16.4% — Suomen Sosiaalidemokraattinen Puolue +6.6Also: National Coalition 15.6% · Suomen Keskusta 12.6% · Vasemmistoliitto 12.4% · Vihreä liitto 8.6% …Pollytic average to 5 Nov 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Election date

159days to go

18 Apr 2027

Polling trend

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
Taloustutkimus	5 Nov 2026	12 Oct 2026 – 3 Nov 2026	2,170	±2.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 22.9% +0.2 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 16.7% +0.2 percentage points National Coalition 15.4% −0.9 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 12.6% +0.2 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 12.2% −0.4 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.6% +0.3 percentage points Swedish People's Party 4.1% +0.5 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.5% +0.1 percentage points Movement Now 2.1% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Taloustutkimus poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	21 Oct 2026	15 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026	4,076	±1.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 23.3% −0.1 percentage points National Coalition 16.2% −0.3 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 15.3% +0.3 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.8% +0.2 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 11.6% ±0.0 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.6% ±0.0 percentage points Swedish People's Party 4.0% −0.1 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 2.8% −0.2 percentage points Movement Now 2.4% +0.2 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Taloustutkimus	8 Oct 2026	7 Sept 2026 – 5 Oct 2026	2,807	±1.8 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 22.7% +0.1 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 16.5% +0.2 percentage points National Coalition 16.3% −0.7 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 12.6% −0.9 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 12.4% +0.7 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.3% +0.1 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.6% ±0.0 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.4% ±0.0 percentage points Movement Now 2.1% +0.2 percentage points	Source for Taloustutkimus poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	16 Sept 2026	18 Aug 2026 – 14 Sept 2026	3,078	±1.8 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 23.4% −0.4 percentage points National Coalition 16.5% ±0.0 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 15.0% +0.4 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.6% −0.1 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 11.6% +0.3 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.6% −0.2 percentage points Swedish People's Party 4.1% +0.1 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Movement Now 2.2% −0.1 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Taloustutkimus	3 Sept 2026	10 Aug 2026 – 1 Sept 2026	2,502	±2.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 22.6% −1.2 percentage points National Coalition 17.0% ±0.0 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 16.3% +0.7 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.5% +0.8 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 11.7% +1.4 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.2% −0.8 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.6% −0.1 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.4% −0.1 percentage points Movement Now 1.9% −0.3 percentage points	Source for Taloustutkimus poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	19 Aug 2026	14 Jul 2026 – 17 Aug 2026	2,946	±1.8 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 23.8% ±0.0 percentage points National Coalition 16.5% −0.2 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 14.6% +0.4 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.7% ±0.0 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 11.3% −0.2 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.8% ±0.0 percentage points Swedish People's Party 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.0% −0.1 percentage points Movement Now 2.3% +0.2 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Taloustutkimus	6 Aug 2026	6 Jul 2026 – 3 Aug 2026	2,125	±2.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 23.8% +0.6 percentage points National Coalition 17.0% −0.4 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 15.6% +1.1 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 12.7% −0.9 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 10.3% −1.1 percentage points Vihreä liitto 9.0% +0.4 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.7% −0.1 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.5% +0.1 percentage points Movement Now 2.2% +0.9 percentage points	Source for Taloustutkimus poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	15 Jul 2026	15 Jun 2026 – 13 Jul 2026	3,512	±1.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 23.8% −0.3 percentage points National Coalition 16.7% −0.7 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 14.2% +0.6 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.7% +0.1 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 11.5% +0.3 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.8% −0.2 percentage points Swedish People's Party 4.0% +0.1 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.1% ±0.0 percentage points Movement Now 2.1% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Taloustutkimus	2 Jul 2026	4 Jun 2026 – 30 Jun 2026	2,433	±2.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 23.2% +0.2 percentage points National Coalition 17.4% −0.9 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 14.5% +0.7 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.6% −0.5 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 11.4% +0.2 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.6% +0.3 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.8% −0.1 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.4% ±0.0 percentage points Movement Now 1.3% −0.4 percentage points	Source for Taloustutkimus poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	17 Jun 2026	18 May 2026 – 15 Jun 2026	4,080	±1.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 24.1% −0.2 percentage points National Coalition 17.4% +0.1 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 13.6% +0.2 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.6% ±0.0 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 11.2% +0.2 percentage points Vihreä liitto 9.0% −0.1 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.9% +0.1 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.1% −0.2 percentage points Movement Now 2.1% +0.1 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Taloustutkimus	4 Jun 2026	11 May 2026 – 1 Jun 2026	2,224	±2.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 23.0% −0.7 percentage points National Coalition 18.3% +0.7 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 14.1% −0.1 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 13.8% −0.1 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 11.2% +0.3 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.3% −0.8 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.9% +0.7 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.4% −0.6 percentage points Movement Now 1.7% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Taloustutkimus poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	20 May 2026	21 Apr 2026 – 18 May 2026	4,120	±1.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 24.3% −0.3 percentage points National Coalition 17.3% −0.3 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.6% −0.1 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 13.4% +0.1 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 11.0% +0.4 percentage points Vihreä liitto 9.1% −0.1 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.8% −0.2 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.3% +0.2 percentage points Movement Now 2.0% +0.1 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Taloustutkimus	7 May 2026	13 Apr 2026 – 5 May 2026	2,378	±2.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 23.7% −1.3 percentage points National Coalition 17.6% −1.2 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 14.2% −0.1 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 13.9% +0.6 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 10.9% −0.2 percentage points Vihreä liitto 9.1% +1.2 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 4.0% +0.6 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.2% −0.6 percentage points Movement Now 1.7% +0.7 percentage points	Source for Taloustutkimus poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	22 Apr 2026	18 Mar 2026 – 20 Apr 2026	4,340	±1.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 24.6% −0.2 percentage points National Coalition 17.6% −0.2 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.7% ±0.0 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 13.3% −0.1 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 10.6% +0.2 percentage points Vihreä liitto 9.2% +0.3 percentage points Swedish People's Party 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.1% −0.1 percentage points Movement Now 1.9% +0.1 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	18 Mar 2026	17 Feb 2026 – 16 Mar 2026	4,048	±1.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 24.8% −0.3 percentage points National Coalition 17.8% −0.1 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.7% −0.4 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 13.4% +0.4 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 10.4% ±0.0 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.9% +0.4 percentage points Swedish People's Party 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.2% −0.1 percentage points Movement Now 1.8% +0.1 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	18 Feb 2026	20 Jan 2026 – 16 Feb 2026	4,072	±1.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 25.1% +0.1 percentage points National Coalition 17.9% −0.5 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 14.1% −0.2 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 13.0% −0.4 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 10.4% +0.4 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.5% +0.2 percentage points Swedish People's Party 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.3% +0.3 percentage points Movement Now 1.7% +0.2 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Taloustutkimus	5 Feb 2026	12 Jan 2026 – 3 Feb 2026	2,402	±2.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 25.0% +1.8 percentage points National Coalition 18.8% −1.2 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 14.3% +1.2 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 13.3% −1.6 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 11.1% +2.2 percentage points Vihreä liitto 7.9% −0.4 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.8% −0.1 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.4% −0.5 percentage points Movement Now 1.0% −0.5 percentage points	Source for Taloustutkimus poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	21 Jan 2026	5 Dec 2025 – 19 Jan 2026	4,050	±1.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 25.0% +1.0 percentage points National Coalition 18.4% −1.1 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 14.3% +2.2 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 13.4% −2.3 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 10.0% +1.5 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.3% +0.5 percentage points Swedish People's Party 4.0% +0.2 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.0% −0.9 percentage points Movement Now 1.5% −1.0 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Taloustutkimus	9 Jan 2025	9 Dec 2024 – 7 Jan 2025	2,533	±1.9 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 23.2% −0.8 percentage points National Coalition 20.0% +1.2 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 14.9% −0.2 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 13.1% ±0.0 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 8.9% +0.1 percentage points Vihreä liitto 8.3% +0.1 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% −0.1 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.9% +0.6 percentage points Movement Now 1.5% −0.8 percentage points	Source for Taloustutkimus poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	18 Dec 2024	18 Nov 2024 – 13 Dec 2024	2,418	±2.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Social Democratic Party 24.0% +1.5 percentage points National Coalition 19.5% −0.3 percentage points Perussuomalaiset 15.7% −0.6 percentage points Suomen Keskusta 12.1% −0.1 percentage points Vasemmistoliitto 8.5% −0.6 percentage points Vihreä liitto 7.8% ±0.0 percentage points Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% ±0.0 percentage points Swedish People's Party 3.8% −0.1 percentage points Movement Now 2.5% +0.1 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

Social Democratic Party leads the polling average in Finland on 23.0%, 6.6 points ahead of Perussuomalaiset (16.4%). The biggest shift over the past month is Perussuomalaiset, up 1.2 points.

3 polls from 2 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Taloustutkimus, published 5 Nov 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Parties

Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.

Suomen Sosiaalidemokraattinen Puolue
Perussuomalaiset
Kansallinen Kokoomus
Suomen Keskusta
Vasemmistoliitto
Vihreä liitto
Svenska Folkpartiet
Kristillisdemokraatit
Movement Now

Government

Who governs Finland now.

Petteri Orpo

Petteri Orpo government