Italy / General Election

Next Italian General Election

Name: Next Italian General Election opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

Italy polling average: Fratelli d'Italia 27.1% — Partito Democratico 20.6% — Fratelli d'Italia +6.5Also: M5S 12.9% · FI 7.0% · AVS 6.7% · FN 6.6% …Pollytic average to 9 Nov 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Election date

Polling trend

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
SWG	9 Nov 2026*	4 Nov 2026 – 9 Nov 2026	1,200	±2.8 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 28.9% −0.1 percentage points PD 20.8% +0.2 percentage points M5S 12.6% ±0.0 percentage points FI 7.3% +0.1 percentage points AVS 6.2% ±0.0 percentage points Lega 5.7% +0.2 percentage points FN 5.5% −0.3 percentage points A 3.2% +0.1 percentage points IV 2.2% ±0.0 percentage points +E 1.2% −0.1 percentage points ScN 1.1% +0.1 percentage points NM 1.0% −0.1 percentage points	Source for SWG poll (opens in a new tab)
Eumetra	4 Nov 2026*	3 Nov 2026 – 4 Nov 2026	800	±3.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 27.9% −0.2 percentage points PD 20.5% +0.2 percentage points M5S 12.0% −0.1 percentage points FI 7.2% −0.2 percentage points FN 6.4% −0.1 percentage points AVS 6.2% −0.2 percentage points Lega 6.1% +0.3 percentage points A 3.2% ±0.0 percentage points IV 2.4% +0.1 percentage points +E 1.5% −0.2 percentage points NM 1.1% +0.1 percentage points ScN 1.1% +0.1 percentage points	Source for Eumetra poll (opens in a new tab)
EMG	3 Nov 2026*	2 Nov 2026 – 3 Nov 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 26.3% +0.3 percentage points PD 20.2% −0.3 percentage points M5S 12.1% +0.5 percentage points Lega 7.4% +0.1 percentage points FI 7.3% −0.2 percentage points AVS 5.9% +0.3 percentage points FN 5.1% −0.5 percentage points A 2.9% +0.2 percentage points IV 2.6% ±0.0 percentage points PLD 1.8% ±0.0 percentage points NM 1.7% ±0.0 percentage points +E 1.6% −0.2 percentage points ScN 1.4% −0.1 percentage points	Source for EMG poll (opens in a new tab)
Excellera Advisory Group	22 Oct 2026*	16 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026	1,006	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 26.3% new PD 20.0% new M5S 14.5% new FI 7.9% new FN 7.7% new AVS 6.6% new Lega 5.6% new A 3.1% new IV 2.5% new +E 1.6% new NM 0.7% new	Source for Excellera Advisory Group poll (opens in a new tab)
Lab21	4 Nov 2026*	28 Oct 2026 – 4 Nov 2026	—	—	—	PD 22.6% +2.6 percentage points FdI 18.6% −9.8 percentage points M5S 14.7% +1.5 percentage points AVS 11.4% +5.8 percentage points FN 6.3% −1.6 percentage points A 5.2% +2.2 percentage points FI 4.9% −1.9 percentage points Lega 3.9% −1.8 percentage points +E 2.4% +1.4 percentage points IV 2.3% −0.3 percentage points PLD 1.6% new ScN 1.2% −0.5 percentage points PCI 1.0% −0.2 percentage points NM 0.7% −0.2 percentage points	Source for Lab21 poll (opens in a new tab)
Termometro Politico	5 Nov 2026*	4 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026	2,400	±2.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 28.1% +0.3 percentage points PD 20.7% +0.1 percentage points M5S 12.6% −0.1 percentage points FI 7.4% +0.1 percentage points FN 6.8% −0.7 percentage points AVS 6.5% +0.1 percentage points Lega 5.5% +0.1 percentage points A 2.8% ±0.0 percentage points IV 2.5% ±0.0 percentage points +E 1.6% ±0.0 percentage points NM 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Termometro Politico poll (opens in a new tab)
SWG	2 Nov 2026*	28 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026	1,200	±2.8 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 29.0% −0.3 percentage points PD 20.6% ±0.0 percentage points M5S 12.6% +0.2 percentage points FI 7.2% −0.2 percentage points AVS 6.2% −0.1 percentage points FN 5.8% +0.2 percentage points Lega 5.5% +0.1 percentage points A 3.1% ±0.0 percentage points IV 2.2% −0.1 percentage points +E 1.3% −0.1 percentage points NM 1.1% +0.1 percentage points ScN 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for SWG poll (opens in a new tab)
BiDiMedia	30 Oct 2026*	27 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 26.6% +0.1 percentage points PD 20.6% +0.1 percentage points M5S 12.0% ±0.0 percentage points FI 7.2% +0.5 percentage points AVS 6.7% +0.1 percentage points FN 6.7% −0.5 percentage points Lega 5.4% ±0.0 percentage points A 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points IV 1.9% −0.1 percentage points ScN 1.3% −0.1 percentage points NM 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points +E 0.8% −0.3 percentage points PLD 0.7% −0.1 percentage points	Source for BiDiMedia poll (opens in a new tab)
Eumetra	28 Oct 2026*	27 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026	800	±3.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 28.1% +0.4 percentage points PD 20.3% +0.2 percentage points M5S 12.1% −0.3 percentage points FI 7.4% +0.1 percentage points FN 6.5% −0.6 percentage points AVS 6.4% ±0.0 percentage points Lega 5.8% +0.2 percentage points A 3.2% ±0.0 percentage points IV 2.3% −0.1 percentage points +E 1.7% ±0.0 percentage points NM 1.0% −0.1 percentage points ScN 1.0% −0.1 percentage points	Source for Eumetra poll (opens in a new tab)
Ipsos	29 Oct 2026*	26 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 26.7% +0.3 percentage points PD 19.9% +0.4 percentage points M5S 14.9% new FN 7.9% −0.9 percentage points FI 6.3% −1.0 percentage points AVS 6.3% ±0.0 percentage points Lega 5.6% +0.9 percentage points A 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points IV 2.0% −0.1 percentage points +E 1.8% −0.3 percentage points NM 0.8% −0.2 percentage points	Source for Ipsos poll (opens in a new tab)
Quorum	28 Oct 2026*	27 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026	810	±3.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 28.1% +1.1 percentage points PD 19.9% −0.5 percentage points M5S 13.5% ±0.0 percentage points FI 7.0% −0.4 percentage points FN 7.0% −0.8 percentage points AVS 6.4% +0.6 percentage points Lega 5.0% +0.2 percentage points A 3.4% +0.1 percentage points IV 2.7% +0.2 percentage points NM 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points ScN 0.8% new	Source for Quorum poll (opens in a new tab)
YouTrend	28 Oct 2026*	27 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026	810	±3.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 28.1% +1.6 percentage points PD 19.9% −1.2 percentage points M5S 13.5% +0.3 percentage points FI 7.0% −0.3 percentage points FN 7.0% −1.1 percentage points AVS 6.4% +0.5 percentage points Lega 5.0% −0.1 percentage points A 3.4% ±0.0 percentage points IV 2.7% +0.5 percentage points +E 1.5% −0.1 percentage points NM 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points ScN 0.8% new	Source for YouTrend poll (opens in a new tab)
Only Numbers	22 Oct 2026*	21 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026	800	±3.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 28.0% +0.2 percentage points PD 20.0% ±0.0 percentage points M5S 11.4% +0.3 percentage points FI 7.5% −0.2 percentage points FN 6.8% ±0.0 percentage points AVS 6.5% −0.1 percentage points Lega 6.4% +0.4 percentage points A 3.1% −0.2 percentage points IV 2.4% +0.1 percentage points +E 1.6% +0.2 percentage points NM 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points ScN 0.8% +0.2 percentage points	Source for Only Numbers poll (opens in a new tab)
SWG	26 Oct 2026*	21 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026	1,200	±2.8 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 29.3% −0.4 percentage points PD 20.6% −0.6 percentage points M5S 12.4% +0.6 percentage points FI 7.4% +0.2 percentage points AVS 6.3% −0.1 percentage points FN 5.6% ±0.0 percentage points Lega 5.4% +0.3 percentage points A 3.1% ±0.0 percentage points IV 2.3% −0.1 percentage points +E 1.4% +0.1 percentage points NM 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points ScN 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for SWG poll (opens in a new tab)
Pieopoli	19 Oct 2026*	19 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026	500	±4.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 28.0% new PD 20.5% new M5S 13.0% new FI 7.0% new AVS 6.5% new FN 6.5% new Lega 5.0% new A 3.0% new IV 2.5% new +E 1.5% new NM 1.5% new PLD 1.5% new ScN 1.5% new	Source for Pieopoli poll (opens in a new tab)
Lab21	22 Oct 2026*	5 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026	5,406	±1.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 28.4% ±0.0 percentage points PD 20.0% ±0.0 percentage points M5S 13.2% −0.2 percentage points FN 7.9% −0.3 percentage points FI 6.8% −0.2 percentage points Lega 5.7% +0.2 percentage points AVS 5.6% ±0.0 percentage points A 3.0% +0.1 percentage points IV 2.6% −0.3 percentage points ScN 1.7% new PCI 1.2% new +E 1.0% −0.2 percentage points NM 0.9% +0.1 percentage points	Source for Lab21 poll (opens in a new tab)
Termometro Politico	22 Oct 2026*	20 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026	2,400	±2.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 27.8% +0.3 percentage points PD 20.6% −0.5 percentage points M5S 12.7% +0.2 percentage points FN 7.5% +0.2 percentage points FI 7.3% −0.2 percentage points AVS 6.4% +0.1 percentage points Lega 5.4% +0.1 percentage points A 2.8% −0.2 percentage points IV 2.5% +0.1 percentage points +E 1.6% −0.2 percentage points NM 1.0% −0.1 percentage points	Source for Termometro Politico poll (opens in a new tab)
Eumetra	21 Oct 2026*	20 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026	800	±3.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 27.7% +0.2 percentage points PD 20.1% ±0.0 percentage points M5S 12.4% −0.3 percentage points FI 7.3% ±0.0 percentage points FN 7.1% −0.2 percentage points AVS 6.4% −0.1 percentage points Lega 5.6% −0.2 percentage points A 3.2% −0.1 percentage points IV 2.4% +0.1 percentage points +E 1.7% ±0.0 percentage points NM 1.1% ±0.0 percentage points ScN 1.1% +0.1 percentage points	Source for Eumetra poll (opens in a new tab)
EMG	20 Oct 2026*	19 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 26.0% +0.6 percentage points PD 20.5% −0.1 percentage points M5S 11.6% −0.2 percentage points FI 7.5% −0.4 percentage points Lega 7.3% −0.2 percentage points AVS 5.6% −0.2 percentage points FN 5.6% −0.9 percentage points A 2.7% +0.1 percentage points IV 2.6% +0.1 percentage points +E 1.8% ±0.0 percentage points PLD 1.8% +0.1 percentage points NM 1.7% ±0.0 percentage points ScN 1.5% new A!-PSI 1.0% new Drin Drin 0.7% new	Source for EMG poll (opens in a new tab)
Piepoli	14 Oct 2026*	12 Oct 2026 – 14 Oct 2026	500	±4.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	FdI 28.0% +0.5 percentage points PD 20.0% ±0.0 percentage points M5S 12.5% ±0.0 percentage points FI 7.5% ±0.0 percentage points FN 7.0% ±0.0 percentage points AVS 6.5% −0.5 percentage points Lega 5.0% −0.5 percentage points A 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points IV 2.5% ±0.0 percentage points +E 1.5% ±0.0 percentage points NM 1.5% ±0.0 percentage points PLD 1.5% ±0.0 percentage points ScN 1.5% new	Source for Piepoli poll (opens in a new tab)

* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

FdI leads the polling average in Italy on 27.1%, 6.5 points ahead of PD (20.6%). The biggest shift over the past month is FN, down 1.0 points.

26 polls from 13 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from SWG, published 9 Nov 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Parties

Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.

Fratelli d'Italia
Partito Democratico
Movimento 5 Stelle
Forza Italia
Alleanza Verdi e Sinistra
Futuro Nazionale con Roberto Vannacci
Lega per Salvini Premier
Azione
Italia Viva
Più Europa
Partito Liberaldemocratico
Sud chiama Nord
Noi Moderati
Partito Comunista Italiano

Government

Who governs Italy now.

Giorgia Meloni

Meloni government