Slovenia / Parliamentary Election

Next Slovenian parliamentary election

Name: Next Slovenian parliamentary election opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

Slovenia polling average: Slovenska demokratska stranka 27.8% — Gibanje Svoboda 23.0% — Slovenska demokratska stranka +4.8Also: Socialni demokrati 11.4% · Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 10.8% · Levica 9.9% · Democrats 4.1% …Pollytic average to 16 Oct 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Election date

Polling trend

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
IJEK	16 Oct 2026*	1 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026	608	±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 27.2% −0.7 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 21.8% −2.1 percentage points Socialni demokrati 11.7% +2.2 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 11.3% +2.5 percentage points Levica 9.8% +1.1 percentage points Resni.ca 5.0% +1.1 percentage points Democrats 4.8% +0.1 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 4.0% +0.6 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.9% −1.1 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 1.9% −1.7 percentage points	Source for IJEK poll (opens in a new tab)
Ninamedia	14 Oct 2026*	12 Oct 2026 – 14 Oct 2026	700	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 28.5% −0.1 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 23.0% −1.8 percentage points Socialni demokrati 11.5% +1.3 percentage points Levica 11.1% +2.0 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 10.7% +0.7 percentage points Democrats 3.9% −0.3 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 2.5% −0.9 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.0% +0.2 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.8% +0.4 percentage points Mi, socialisti! 1.5% +0.4 percentage points Resni.ca 1.5% −1.0 percentage points Vesna 0.4% −0.3 percentage points	Source for Ninamedia poll (opens in a new tab)
Mediana	8 Oct 2026*	5 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026	736	±3.6 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 27.0% −3.4 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 24.6% −1.5 percentage points Socialni demokrati 11.6% +2.9 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 10.4% +1.4 percentage points Levica 8.2% +0.4 percentage points Resni.ca 4.4% +0.7 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 3.6% ±0.0 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 3.4% +1.5 percentage points Democrats 2.6% −2.8 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 2.2% +0.8 percentage points	Source for Mediana poll (opens in a new tab)
Mediana	24 Sept 2026*	21 Sept 2026 – 24 Sept 2026	716	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 30.4% +3.1 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 26.1% −0.2 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 9.0% −1.4 percentage points Socialni demokrati 8.7% +0.2 percentage points Levica 7.8% new Democrats 5.4% +1.9 percentage points Resni.ca 3.7% −1.3 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 3.6% −0.7 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.9% −0.6 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 1.4% −1.1 percentage points	Source for Mediana poll (opens in a new tab)
IJEK	18 Sept 2026*	1 Sept 2026 – 18 Sept 2026	643	±3.9 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 27.9% +1.6 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 23.9% −0.5 percentage points Socialni demokrati 9.5% +0.5 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 8.8% −2.2 percentage points Levica 8.7% new Democrats 4.7% +0.1 percentage points Resni.ca 3.9% −2.5 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 3.6% +0.7 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 3.4% +1.0 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 3.0% +1.1 percentage points	Source for IJEK poll (opens in a new tab)
Ninamedia	16 Sept 2026*	14 Sept 2026 – 16 Sept 2026	700	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 28.6% +1.7 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 24.8% −1.7 percentage points Socialni demokrati 10.2% ±0.0 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 10.0% +0.7 percentage points Levica 9.1% new Democrats 4.2% −0.2 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 3.4% +0.7 percentage points Resni.ca 2.5% −0.7 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 1.8% −0.7 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.4% −0.5 percentage points Mi, socialisti! 1.1% −0.3 percentage points Vesna 0.7% new	Source for Ninamedia poll (opens in a new tab)
Mediana	20 Aug 2026*	17 Aug 2026 – 20 Aug 2026	719	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 27.3% −0.5 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 26.3% +1.5 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 10.4% −0.1 percentage points Socialni demokrati 8.5% +0.1 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 6.1% −2.4 percentage points Resni.ca 5.0% +0.8 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 4.3% +1.9 percentage points Democrats 3.5% −2.3 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.5% ±0.0 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 2.5% +0.1 percentage points	Source for Mediana poll (opens in a new tab)
Ninamedia	12 Aug 2026*	10 Aug 2026 – 12 Aug 2026	700	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 26.9% −0.4 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 26.5% +0.9 percentage points Socialni demokrati 10.2% ±0.0 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 9.7% ±0.0 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 9.3% +0.7 percentage points Democrats 4.4% +0.2 percentage points Resni.ca 3.2% ±0.0 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 2.7% new Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.5% new Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.9% new Mi, socialisti! 1.4% new	Source for Ninamedia poll (opens in a new tab)
Mediana	23 Jul 2026*	20 Jul 2026 – 23 Jul 2026	719	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 27.8% −0.5 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 24.8% −1.1 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 10.5% −0.2 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 8.5% −1.4 percentage points Socialni demokrati 8.4% +0.9 percentage points Democrats 5.8% +1.1 percentage points Resni.ca 4.2% −0.1 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.5% +0.7 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.4% ±0.0 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 2.4% −0.5 percentage points	Source for Mediana poll (opens in a new tab)
Ninamedia	15 Jul 2026*	13 Jul 2026 – 15 Jul 2026	700	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 27.3% −1.0 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 25.6% −1.0 percentage points Socialni demokrati 10.2% +1.1 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 9.7% +1.0 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 8.6% −0.9 percentage points Democrats 4.2% −0.1 percentage points Resni.ca 3.2% −0.7 percentage points	Source for Ninamedia poll (opens in a new tab)
Mediana	9 Jul 2026*	6 Jul 2026 – 9 Jul 2026	725	±3.6 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 28.3% −0.1 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 25.9% −1.6 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 10.7% +0.4 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 9.9% +1.6 percentage points Socialni demokrati 7.5% −2.4 percentage points Democrats 4.7% +1.2 percentage points Resni.ca 4.3% +0.4 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 2.9% +0.4 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.4% −0.7 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.8% −0.1 percentage points	Source for Mediana poll (opens in a new tab)
Mediana	24 Jun 2026*	22 Jun 2026 – 24 Jun 2026	721	±3.6 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 28.4% +1.6 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 27.5% +0.8 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 10.3% −0.8 percentage points Socialni demokrati 9.9% −0.3 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 8.3% −0.8 percentage points Resni.ca 3.9% +0.1 percentage points Democrats 3.5% −1.6 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 3.1% +0.1 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 2.5% +0.8 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.9% new	Source for Mediana poll (opens in a new tab)
IJEK	19 Jun 2026*	8 Jun 2026 – 19 Jun 2026	543	±4.2 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 26.3% new Gibanje Svoboda 24.4% new Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 11.0% new Koalicija Levice in Vesne 9.7% new Socialni demokrati 9.0% new Resni.ca 6.4% new Democrats 4.6% new Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 2.9% new Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.4% new Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.9% new	Source for IJEK poll (opens in a new tab)
Mediana	11 Jun 2026*	8 Jun 2026 – 11 Jun 2026	719	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 26.8% −2.4 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 26.7% +0.1 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 11.1% +2.4 percentage points Socialni demokrati 10.2% +2.2 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 9.1% +2.3 percentage points Democrats 5.1% +0.5 percentage points Resni.ca 3.8% +0.1 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 3.0% +0.2 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 1.7% −2.2 percentage points	Source for Mediana poll (opens in a new tab)
Ninamedia	10 Jun 2026*	8 Jun 2026 – 10 Jun 2026	700	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 28.3% +3.3 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 26.6% −2.3 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 9.5% −2.0 percentage points Socialni demokrati 9.1% −0.2 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 8.7% −0.6 percentage points Democrats 4.3% +1.1 percentage points Resni.ca 3.9% −0.5 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 3.2% +1.1 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.9% +0.7 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 1.8% +0.2 percentage points Mi, socialisti! 1.2% new	Source for Ninamedia poll (opens in a new tab)
Mediana	21 May 2026*	18 May 2026 – 21 May 2026	719	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 29.2% +0.5 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 26.6% −3.1 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 8.7% −2.1 percentage points Socialni demokrati 8.0% +2.3 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 6.8% +0.4 percentage points Democrats 4.6% −0.9 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 3.9% +1.6 percentage points Resni.ca 3.7% −0.3 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 3.4% +2.1 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.8% −0.5 percentage points	Source for Mediana poll (opens in a new tab)
Ninamedia	13 May 2026*	11 May 2026 – 13 May 2026	700	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Gibanje Svoboda 28.9% −0.4 percentage points Slovenska demokratska stranka 25.0% −2.9 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 11.5% +2.8 percentage points Socialni demokrati 9.3% +2.0 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 9.3% +3.5 percentage points Resni.ca 4.4% ±0.0 percentage points Democrats 3.2% −2.0 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 2.1% −1.0 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 1.6% −0.4 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.2% −1.6 percentage points	Source for Ninamedia poll (opens in a new tab)
Valicon	12 May 2026*	8 May 2026 – 12 May 2026	1,527	±2.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Gibanje Svoboda 25.4% new Slovenska demokratska stranka 25.0% new Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 8.9% new Socialni demokrati 7.8% new Resni.ca 7.5% new Koalicija Levice in Vesne 6.1% new Piratska stranka Slovenije 4.8% new Democrats 4.7% new Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 3.2% new Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.8% new Mi, socialisti! 1.3% new	Source for Valicon poll (opens in a new tab)
Mediana	7 May 2026*	5 May 2026 – 7 May 2026	718	±3.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Gibanje Svoboda 29.7% +1.7 percentage points Slovenska demokratska stranka 28.7% −0.5 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 10.8% +0.4 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 6.4% −0.5 percentage points Socialni demokrati 5.7% −1.4 percentage points Democrats 5.5% +0.6 percentage points Resni.ca 4.0% −0.6 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 3.3% +1.9 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 2.3% −1.1 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 1.3% −1.6 percentage points	Source for Mediana poll (opens in a new tab)
Mediana	23 Apr 2026*	21 Apr 2026 – 23 Apr 2026	722	±3.6 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Slovenska demokratska stranka 29.2% +2.2 percentage points Gibanje Svoboda 28.0% +0.4 percentage points Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa 10.4% −0.2 percentage points Socialni demokrati 7.1% +0.7 percentage points Koalicija Levice in Vesne 6.9% +0.5 percentage points Democrats 4.9% −1.9 percentage points Resni.ca 4.6% −1.0 percentage points Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča 3.4% +1.6 percentage points Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.9% −0.6 percentage points Piratska stranka Slovenije 1.4% −1.5 percentage points	Source for Mediana poll (opens in a new tab)

* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

Slovenska demokratska stranka leads the polling average in Slovenia on 27.8%, 4.8 points ahead of Gibanje Svoboda (23.0%). The biggest shift over the past month is Gibanje Svoboda, down 1.9 points.

5 polls from 3 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from IJEK, published 16 Oct 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Parties

Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.

Slovenska demokratska stranka
Gibanje Svoboda
Socialni demokrati
Koalicija NSi, SLS in Fokusa
Levica
Demokrati
Resni.ca
Piratska stranka Slovenije
Prerod - Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
Mi, socialisti!
Vesna

Government

Who governs Slovenia now.

Janez Janša

Janez Janša government