Taiwan / Parliamentary Election

Next Taiwanese legislative election

Name: Next Taiwanese legislative election opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

Taiwan polling average: Democratic Progressive 38.4% — Kuomintang 20.6% — Democratic Progressive +17.8Also: Taiwan People's Party 16.7%Pollytic average to 17 Dec 2025: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Election date

Polling trend

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation	17 Dec 2025*	15 Dec 2025 – 17 Dec 2025	1,077	±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Democratic Progressive 38.4% +5.5 percentage points Kuomintang 20.6% −1.3 percentage points Taiwan People's Party 16.7% +2.3 percentage points	Source for Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation poll (opens in a new tab)
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation	21 Oct 2025	21 Oct 2025 – 21 Oct 2025	1,070	±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Democratic Progressive 32.9% +1.8 percentage points Kuomintang 21.9% −3.4 percentage points Taiwan People's Party 14.4% +1.8 percentage points	Source for Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation poll (opens in a new tab)
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation	21 Oct 2024	21 Oct 2024 – 21 Oct 2024	1,077	±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Democratic Progressive 31.1% −0.3 percentage points Kuomintang 25.3% +3.4 percentage points Taiwan People's Party 12.6% −6.6 percentage points	Source for Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation poll (opens in a new tab)
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation	19 Mar 2024	19 Mar 2024 – 19 Mar 2024	1,090	±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Democratic Progressive 31.4% +0.9 percentage points Kuomintang 21.9% −3.3 percentage points Taiwan People's Party 19.2% −3.3 percentage points	Source for Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation poll (opens in a new tab)
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation	23 Jan 2024	23 Jan 2024 – 23 Jan 2024	1,083	±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Democratic Progressive 30.5% new Kuomintang 25.2% new Taiwan People's Party 22.5% new	Source for Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation poll (opens in a new tab)

Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation
17 Dec 2025* · n=1,077 · MoE ±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Democratic Progressive38.4%
- Kuomintang20.6%
- Taiwan People's Party16.7%
View original source
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation
21 Oct 2025 · n=1,070 · MoE ±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Democratic Progressive32.9%
- Kuomintang21.9%
- Taiwan People's Party14.4%
View original source
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation
21 Oct 2024 · n=1,077 · MoE ±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Democratic Progressive31.1%
- Kuomintang25.3%
- Taiwan People's Party12.6%
View original source
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation
19 Mar 2024 · n=1,090 · MoE ±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Democratic Progressive31.4%
- Kuomintang21.9%
- Taiwan People's Party19.2%
View original source
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation
23 Jan 2024 · n=1,083 · MoE ±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Democratic Progressive30.5%
- Kuomintang25.2%
- Taiwan People's Party22.5%
View original source

* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

Democratic Progressive leads the polling average in Taiwan on 38.4%, 17.8 points ahead of Kuomintang (20.6%). The biggest shift over the past month is Democratic Progressive, up 5.5 points.

1 poll from 1 institute was published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, published 17 Dec 2025. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Parties

Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.

Democratic Progressive
Kuomintang
Taiwan People's

Government

Who governs Taiwan now.

Lai Ching-te

Lai Ching-te government