A2 Insights

Voting intention · fieldwork ended 27 Oct 2026

Results

A2 Insights, 27 Oct 2026: Talarico (D) leads with 50.0%, 3.0 points ahead of Paxton (R).

Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.

Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Voting intention · fieldwork ended 27 Oct 2026

A2 Insights, 27 Oct 2026: Talarico (D) leads with 50.0%, 3.0 points ahead of Paxton (R).

Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.

Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.