United States / 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
ActiVote
Voting intention · published 21 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇺🇸 United States
- Election
- 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
- Polling institute
- ActiVote
- Published
- 21 Oct 2026
- Fieldwork
- 1 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
- Sample size
- 400
- Margin of error
- ±4.9
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
ActiVote, 21 Oct 2026: Shapiro (D) leads with 61.5%, 23.0 points ahead of Garrity (R).
- Josh Shapiro (D)61.5%new
- Stacy Garrity (R)38.5%new
No earlier poll by this institute for this election, so no change is shown.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.