Spain / Next Spanish General Election
Celeste-Tel
Voting intention · published 8 Jan 2024
- Country
- 🇪🇸 Spain
- Election
- Next Spanish General Election
- Polling institute
- Celeste-Tel
- Published
- 8 Jan 2024
- Fieldwork
- 21 Dec 2023 – 27 Dec 2023
- Sample size
- 1,100
- Margin of error
- ±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Celeste-Tel, 8 Jan 2024: Partido Popular leads with 37.0%, 6.7 points ahead of Partido Socialista Obrero Español.
- Partido Popular37.0%+0.5 percentage points
- Partido Socialista Obrero Español30.3%−0.3 percentage points
- Vox10.8%−0.1 percentage points
- Sumar10.1%−1.2 percentage points
- Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya1.9%−0.1 percentage points
- Junts per Catalunya1.8%−0.1 percentage points
- Euskal Herria Bildu1.5%±0.0 percentage points
- Podemos1.1%new
- Partido Nacionalista Vasco1.1%±0.0 percentage points
- Bloque Nacionalista Galego0.7%±0.0 percentage points
- Canarian Coalition0.4%+0.1 percentage points
- Unión del Pueblo Navarro0.2%±0.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
Note: Commissioned by Onda Cero.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.