United States / 2026 Florida gubernatorial election
Change Research (D)
Voting intention · fieldwork ended 10 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇺🇸 United States
- Election
- 2026 Florida gubernatorial election
- Polling institute
- Change Research (D)
- Published
- Not stated by the source
- Fieldwork
- 8 Oct 2026 – 10 Oct 2026
- Sample size
- 920
- Margin of error
- ±3.1
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Change Research (D), 10 Oct 2026: Donalds (R) and Jolly (D) are tied at 47.0%.
- Byron Donalds (R)47.0%±0.0 percentage points
- David Jolly (D)47.0%−1.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.