United States / 2026 Florida gubernatorial election
Change Research (D)
Voting intention · published 15 Jul 2026
- Country
- 🇺🇸 United States
- Election
- 2026 Florida gubernatorial election
- Polling institute
- Change Research (D)
- Published
- 15 Jul 2026
- Fieldwork
- 9 Jul 2026 – 11 Jul 2026
- Sample size
- 1,348
- Margin of error
- ±2.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Change Research (D), 15 Jul 2026: Donalds (R) and Jolly (D) are tied at 37.0%.
- Byron Donalds (R)37.0%new
- David Jolly (D)37.0%new
No earlier poll by this institute for this election, so no change is shown.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.