Spain / Next Spanish General Election
CIS
Voting intention · published 21 Oct 2024
- Country
- 🇪🇸 Spain
- Election
- Next Spanish General Election
- Polling institute
- CIS
- Published
- 21 Oct 2024
- Fieldwork
- 1 Oct 2024 – 11 Oct 2024
- Sample size
- 4,005
- Margin of error
- ±1.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
CIS, 21 Oct 2024: Partido Socialista Obrero Español leads with 34.0%, 2.5 points ahead of Partido Popular.
- Partido Socialista Obrero Español34.0%+1.0 percentage points
- Partido Popular31.5%+3.0 percentage points
- Vox11.8%−1.3 percentage points
- Sumar6.3%−1.5 percentage points
- Podemos3.3%−0.3 percentage points
- Se Acabó La Fiesta1.7%−1.2 percentage points
- Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya1.6%+0.2 percentage points
- Junts per Catalunya1.2%−0.1 percentage points
- Partido Nacionalista Vasco1.0%+0.1 percentage points
- Euskal Herria Bildu0.9%−0.2 percentage points
- Bloque Nacionalista Galego0.8%±0.0 percentage points
- Canarian Coalition0.3%±0.0 percentage points
- Unión del Pueblo Navarro0.1%±0.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.