United Kingdom / Next UK General Election
Convergent Opinion (MRP)
Voting intention · published 30 Jul 2026
- Country
- 🇬🇧 United Kingdom
- Election
- Next UK General Election
- Polling institute
- Convergent Opinion (MRP)
- Published
- 30 Jul 2026
- Fieldwork
- 25 Jul 2026 – 30 Jul 2026
- Sample size
- 10,919
- Margin of error
- ±0.9 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Convergent Opinion (MRP), 30 Jul 2026: Labour leads with 26.0%, 3.0 points ahead of Reform UK.
- Labour Party26.0%new
- Reform UK23.0%new
- Conservative Party21.0%new
- Liberal Democrats11.0%new
- Green Party10.0%new
- Scottish National Party2.0%new
- Plaid Cymru1.0%new
No earlier poll by this institute for this election, so no change is shown.
Note: Area: GB.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.