Australia / Next Australian federal election
DemosAU (MRP)
Voting intention · published 12 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇦🇺 Australia
- Election
- Next Australian federal election
- Polling institute
- DemosAU (MRP)
- Published
- 12 Oct 2026
- Fieldwork
- 4 Aug 2026 – 19 Sept 2026
- Sample size
- 9,740
- Margin of error
- ±1.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
DemosAU (MRP), 12 Oct 2026: Australian Labor leads with 27.0%, 1.0 points ahead of Pauline Hanson's One Nation.
- Australian Labor Party27.0%new
- Pauline Hanson's One Nation26.0%new
- Liberal Party of Australia22.0%new
- Australian Greens13.0%new
No earlier poll by this institute for this election, so no change is shown.
Note: Commissioned by Capital Brief.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.