Spain / Next Spanish General Election
EM-Analytics
Voting intention · published 4 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇪🇸 Spain
- Election
- Next Spanish General Election
- Polling institute
- EM-Analytics
- Published
- 4 Oct 2026
- Fieldwork
- 2 Oct 2026 – 3 Oct 2026
- Sample size
- 8,171
- Margin of error
- ±1.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
EM-Analytics, 4 Oct 2026: Partido Popular leads with 31.3%, 4.4 points ahead of Partido Socialista Obrero Español.
- Partido Popular31.3%−1.0 percentage points
- Partido Socialista Obrero Español26.9%+1.6 percentage points
- Vox19.4%+0.6 percentage points
- Sumar6.3%−0.2 percentage points
- Podemos3.4%−0.4 percentage points
- Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya2.0%±0.0 percentage points
- Se Acabó La Fiesta1.7%−0.3 percentage points
- Euskal Herria Bildu1.4%±0.0 percentage points
- Adelante Andalucía1.1%+0.2 percentage points
- Junts per Catalunya1.1%−0.1 percentage points
- Partido Nacionalista Vasco1.1%±0.0 percentage points
- Bloque Nacionalista Galego1.0%+0.1 percentage points
- Canarian Coalition0.3%−0.1 percentage points
- Unión del Pueblo Navarro0.2%±0.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
Note: Commissioned by Electomanía.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.