Spain / Next Spanish General Election
GAD3
Voting intention · published 2 Mar 2024
- Country
- 🇪🇸 Spain
- Election
- Next Spanish General Election
- Polling institute
- GAD3
- Published
- 2 Mar 2024
- Fieldwork
- 26 Feb 2024 – 29 Feb 2024
- Sample size
- 1,005
- Margin of error
- ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
GAD3, 2 Mar 2024: Partido Popular leads with 37.9%, 9.5 points ahead of Partido Socialista Obrero Español.
- Partido Popular37.9%+1.6 percentage points
- Partido Socialista Obrero Español28.4%−0.4 percentage points
- Vox11.1%−0.5 percentage points
- Sumar8.8%−2.9 percentage points
- Podemos2.4%new
- Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya2.0%new
- Junts per Catalunya1.7%new
- Euskal Herria Bildu1.5%new
- Partido Nacionalista Vasco1.1%new
- Bloque Nacionalista Galego0.9%new
- Canarian Coalition0.4%new
- Unión del Pueblo Navarro0.2%new
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
Note: Commissioned by ABC.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.