Germany / Next German Federal Election
Ipsos
Voting intention · published 10 Jul 2025
- Country
- 🇩🇪 Germany
- Election
- Next German Federal Election
- Polling institute
- Ipsos
- Published
- 10 Jul 2025
- Fieldwork
- 4 Jul 2025 – 5 Jul 2025
- Sample size
- 1,000
- Margin of error
- ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Online panel
Results
Ipsos, 10 Jul 2025: CDU/CSU leads with 26.0%, 2.0 points ahead of Alternative für Deutschland.
- CDU/CSU26.0%−1.0 percentage points
- Alternative für Deutschland24.0%+1.0 percentage points
- Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands15.0%−1.0 percentage points
- Bündnis 90/Die Grünen12.0%+1.0 percentage points
- Die Linke12.0%+1.0 percentage points
- Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht – Für Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit4.0%±0.0 percentage points
- Freie Demokratische Partei3.0%±0.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.