Netherlands / Next Dutch general election
Ipsos I&O
Voting intention · published 15 May 2026
- Country
- 🇳🇱 Netherlands
- Election
- Next Dutch general election
- Polling institute
- Ipsos I&O
- Published
- 15 May 2026
- Fieldwork
- 8 May 2026 – 11 May 2026
- Sample size
- 1,560
- Margin of error
- ±2.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Ipsos I&O, 15 May 2026: Progressief Nederland leads with 15.4%, 1.9 points ahead of Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie.
- Progressief Nederland15.4%−1.3 percentage points
- Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie13.5%+0.3 percentage points
- Democraten 6612.9%+0.3 percentage points
- Partij voor de Vrijheid12.6%+0.5 percentage points
- Christen Democratisch Appèl9.8%+0.7 percentage points
- JA218.5%±0.0 percentage points
- Forum voor Democratie7.2%−1.3 percentage points
- Partij voor de Dieren3.7%+0.8 percentage points
- Socialistische Partij3.1%−0.3 percentage points
- 50PLUS3.0%−0.1 percentage points
- ChristenUnie2.7%+0.1 percentage points
- DENK2.6%+1.0 percentage points
- Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij2.4%−0.3 percentage points
- Volt Nederland1.6%−0.1 percentage points
- BoerBurgerBeweging0.8%−0.6 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.