Netherlands / Next Dutch general election
Ipsos I&O
Voting intention · published 16 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇳🇱 Netherlands
- Election
- Next Dutch general election
- Polling institute
- Ipsos I&O
- Published
- 16 Oct 2026
- Fieldwork
- 12 Oct 2026 – 14 Oct 2026
- Sample size
- 1,697
- Margin of error
- ±2.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Ipsos I&O, 16 Oct 2026: Progressief Nederland leads with 18.3%, 6.3 points ahead of JA21.
- Progressief Nederland18.3%+1.7 percentage points
- JA2112.0%+2.6 percentage points
- Partij voor de Vrijheid11.7%+0.6 percentage points
- Democraten 6610.1%−3.1 percentage points
- Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie9.9%−2.8 percentage points
- Christen Democratisch Appèl8.3%−0.9 percentage points
- Forum voor Democratie7.1%−0.8 percentage points
- Partij voor de Dieren4.4%+0.8 percentage points
- Socialistische Partij3.5%−0.1 percentage points
- 50PLUS3.4%+0.6 percentage points
- ChristenUnie3.2%+0.7 percentage points
- Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij2.6%±0.0 percentage points
- Volt Nederland1.9%+0.3 percentage points
- DENK1.9%+0.4 percentage points
- BoerBurgerBeweging1.4%−0.1 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.