Spain / Next Spanish General Election
Ipsos
Voting intention · published 5 Jul 2026
- Country
- 🇪🇸 Spain
- Election
- Next Spanish General Election
- Polling institute
- Ipsos
- Published
- 5 Jul 2026
- Fieldwork
- 16 Jun 2026 – 29 Jun 2026
- Sample size
- 1,306
- Margin of error
- ±2.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Ipsos, 5 Jul 2026: Partido Popular leads with 31.2%, 4.1 points ahead of Partido Socialista Obrero Español.
- Partido Popular31.2%+0.3 percentage points
- Partido Socialista Obrero Español27.1%−1.3 percentage points
- Vox18.5%+0.2 percentage points
- Sumar7.6%+1.8 percentage points
- Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya2.0%−0.2 percentage points
- Se Acabó La Fiesta1.9%−0.3 percentage points
- Podemos1.8%±0.0 percentage points
- Euskal Herria Bildu1.8%−0.1 percentage points
- Partido Nacionalista Vasco1.3%+0.1 percentage points
- Aliança Catalana0.9%+0.4 percentage points
- Junts per Catalunya0.9%−0.5 percentage points
- Bloque Nacionalista Galego0.6%−0.2 percentage points
- Canarian Coalition0.5%±0.0 percentage points
- Unión del Pueblo Navarro0.0%−0.1 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
Note: Commissioned by La Vanguardia.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.