United States / 2026 United States Senate election in Montana
Peak Insights (R)
Voting intention · published 16 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇺🇸 United States
- Election
- 2026 United States Senate election in Montana
- Polling institute
- Peak Insights (R)
- Published
- 16 Oct 2026
- Fieldwork
- 7 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026
- Sample size
- 500
- Margin of error
- ±4
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Peak Insights (R), 16 Oct 2026: Alme (R) leads with 44.0%, 15.0 points ahead of Bodnar (I).
- Kurt Alme (R)44.0%±0.0 percentage points
- Seth Bodnar (I)29.0%+7.0 percentage points
- Alani Bankhead (D)12.0%−7.0 percentage points
- Kyle Austin (I)3.0%+1.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.