Spain / Next Spanish General Election
Sigma Dos
Voting intention · published 2 Nov 2024
- Country
- 🇪🇸 Spain
- Election
- Next Spanish General Election
- Polling institute
- Sigma Dos
- Published
- 2 Nov 2024
- Fieldwork
- 24 Oct 2024 – 31 Oct 2024
- Sample size
- 1,817
- Margin of error
- ±2.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Sigma Dos, 2 Nov 2024: Partido Popular leads with 35.9%, 7.7 points ahead of Partido Socialista Obrero Español.
- Partido Popular35.9%+0.4 percentage points
- Partido Socialista Obrero Español28.2%−0.5 percentage points
- Vox10.5%+1.0 percentage points
- Sumar5.5%−1.4 percentage points
- Podemos4.9%+1.5 percentage points
- Se Acabó La Fiesta3.3%±0.0 percentage points
- Junts per Catalunya2.0%+0.1 percentage points
- Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya1.8%±0.0 percentage points
- Euskal Herria Bildu1.4%+0.1 percentage points
- Partido Nacionalista Vasco1.3%±0.0 percentage points
- Bloque Nacionalista Galego0.8%±0.0 percentage points
- Canarian Coalition0.6%±0.0 percentage points
- Unión del Pueblo Navarro0.2%±0.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
Note: Commissioned by El Mundo.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.