Spain / Next Spanish General Election
Sigma Dos
Voting intention · published 4 Jan 2025
- Country
- 🇪🇸 Spain
- Election
- Next Spanish General Election
- Polling institute
- Sigma Dos
- Published
- 4 Jan 2025
- Fieldwork
- 13 Dec 2024 – 26 Dec 2024
- Sample size
- 2,485
- Margin of error
- ±2.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Sigma Dos, 4 Jan 2025: Partido Popular leads with 34.4%, 7.3 points ahead of Partido Socialista Obrero Español.
- Partido Popular34.4%−0.4 percentage points
- Partido Socialista Obrero Español27.1%−0.3 percentage points
- Vox12.4%+0.5 percentage points
- Sumar6.4%+0.2 percentage points
- Podemos4.7%−0.3 percentage points
- Se Acabó La Fiesta3.3%+0.2 percentage points
- Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya1.9%±0.0 percentage points
- Junts per Catalunya1.8%+0.1 percentage points
- Euskal Herria Bildu1.1%−0.2 percentage points
- Bloque Nacionalista Galego1.0%+0.1 percentage points
- Partido Nacionalista Vasco1.0%−0.1 percentage points
- Canarian Coalition0.4%−0.1 percentage points
- Unión del Pueblo Navarro0.3%±0.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
Note: Commissioned by El Mundo.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.