Spain / Next Spanish General Election
Sigma Dos
Voting intention · published 4 Mar 2024
- Country
- 🇪🇸 Spain
- Election
- Next Spanish General Election
- Polling institute
- Sigma Dos
- Published
- 4 Mar 2024
- Fieldwork
- 22 Feb 2024 – 29 Feb 2024
- Sample size
- 1,632
- Margin of error
- ±2.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Sigma Dos, 4 Mar 2024: Partido Popular leads with 37.9%, 8.6 points ahead of Partido Socialista Obrero Español.
- Partido Popular37.9%+1.1 percentage points
- Partido Socialista Obrero Español29.3%−0.9 percentage points
- Vox10.2%−0.3 percentage points
- Sumar9.4%−0.2 percentage points
- Podemos2.8%+0.2 percentage points
- Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya1.9%−0.1 percentage points
- Junts per Catalunya1.7%+0.1 percentage points
- Partido Nacionalista Vasco1.1%±0.0 percentage points
- Euskal Herria Bildu1.0%−0.1 percentage points
- Bloque Nacionalista Galego0.7%±0.0 percentage points
- Canarian Coalition0.5%±0.0 percentage points
- Unión del Pueblo Navarro0.2%±0.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
Note: Commissioned by El Mundo.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.