United Kingdom / Next UK General Election
Survation (MRP)
Voting intention · published 14 Oct 2025
- Country
- 🇬🇧 United Kingdom
- Election
- Next UK General Election
- Polling institute
- Survation (MRP)
- Published
- 14 Oct 2025
- Fieldwork
- 21 Aug 2025 – 1 Sept 2025
- Sample size
- 8,546
- Margin of error
- ±1.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Survation (MRP), 14 Oct 2025: Reform UK leads with 29.0%, 4.0 points ahead of Labour.
- Reform UK29.0%new
- Labour Party25.0%new
- Conservative Party19.0%new
- Liberal Democrats12.0%new
- Green Party7.0%new
- Scottish National Party3.0%new
- Plaid Cymru1.0%new
No earlier poll by this institute for this election, so no change is shown.
Note: Commissioned by 38 Degrees. Area: UK.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.