TargetSmart

Voting intention · fieldwork ended 12 Sept 2026

Results

TargetSmart, 12 Sept 2026: Blackburn (R) leads with 45.0%, 9.0 points ahead of Green (D).

No earlier poll by this institute for this election, so no change is shown.

Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Voting intention · fieldwork ended 12 Sept 2026

TargetSmart, 12 Sept 2026: Blackburn (R) leads with 45.0%, 9.0 points ahead of Green (D).

No earlier poll by this institute for this election, so no change is shown.

Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.