United States / 2026 United States Senate election in Montana
Tavern Research (D)
Voting intention · published 27 Jul 2026
- Country
- 🇺🇸 United States
- Election
- 2026 United States Senate election in Montana
- Polling institute
- Tavern Research (D)
- Published
- 27 Jul 2026
- Fieldwork
- 23 Jul 2026 – 27 Jul 2026
- Sample size
- 517
- Margin of error
- ±4.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Tavern Research (D), 27 Jul 2026: Alme (R) leads with 49.0%, 24.0 points ahead of Bodnar (I).
- Kurt Alme (R)49.0%−1.0 percentage points
- Seth Bodnar (I)25.0%−25.0 percentage points
- Alani Bankhead (D)24.0%new
- Kyle Austin (I)2.0%new
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.