New Zealand

Next election

Next New Zealand general election

General Election

Polling trend — Next New Zealand general election

No polling data available for this election yet.

Latest polls

All New Zealand polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
The Post/Freshwater Strategy	3 Nov 2026*	29 Oct 2026 – 3 Nov 2026	1,044	±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 30.7% +2.0 percentage points National 26.4% −1.2 percentage points Green 13.0% −1.3 percentage points NZ First 12.0% +0.2 percentage points ACT 9.8% +0.8 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for The Post/Freshwater Strategy poll (opens in a new tab)
Taxpayers' Union–Curia	3 Nov 2026*	28 Oct 2026 – 3 Nov 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 28.9% +0.4 percentage points Labour 28.4% +0.2 percentage points Green 14.4% +1.1 percentage points ACT 10.5% +1.3 percentage points NZ First 9.8% −2.2 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.1% −0.3 percentage points	Source for Taxpayers' Union–Curia poll (opens in a new tab)
Roy Morgan	25 Oct 2026*	28 Sept 2026 – 25 Oct 2026	859	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 27.5% +4.0 percentage points National 26.5% −4.5 percentage points Green 15.5% −0.5 percentage points ACT 11.0% ±0.0 percentage points NZ First 10.0% ±0.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.0% −1.0 percentage points	Source for Roy Morgan poll (opens in a new tab)
1 News–Verian	2 Nov 2026*	29 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026	1,006	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 29.5% +0.6 percentage points Labour 28.8% +1.5 percentage points Green 16.4% +1.6 percentage points ACT 10.0% −2.4 percentage points NZ First 8.4% −1.6 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 0.4% +0.3 percentage points	Source for 1 News–Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
RNZ–Reid Research	26 Oct 2026*	20 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 30.6% −0.2 percentage points National 24.8% −1.1 percentage points Green 14.5% −0.3 percentage points ACT 10.1% +1.1 percentage points NZ First 9.9% −0.7 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.9% −0.1 percentage points	Source for RNZ–Reid Research poll (opens in a new tab)
1 News–Verian	25 Oct 2026*	21 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 28.9% −3.1 percentage points Labour 27.3% +0.3 percentage points Green 14.8% −1.2 percentage points ACT 12.4% +1.4 percentage points NZ First 10.0% +2.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 0.1% −0.6 percentage points	Source for 1 News–Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
1 News–Verian	19 Oct 2026*	15 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026	1,003	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 32.0% +4.0 percentage points Labour 27.0% −1.0 percentage points Green 16.0% +1.0 percentage points ACT 11.0% +1.0 percentage points NZ First 8.0% −2.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 0.7% +0.3 percentage points	Source for 1 News–Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
The Post/Freshwater Strategy	19 Oct 2026*	9 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026	1,458	±2.6 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 28.7% +0.7 percentage points National 27.6% +0.6 percentage points Green 14.3% +0.3 percentage points NZ First 11.8% −1.2 percentage points ACT 9.0% ±0.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for The Post/Freshwater Strategy poll (opens in a new tab)
Anacta	10 Oct 2026*	6 Oct 2026 – 10 Oct 2026	1,352	±2.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 29.0% −2.0 percentage points National 28.0% −2.0 percentage points Green 15.0% +3.0 percentage points NZ First 10.0% ±0.0 percentage points ACT 9.0% +1.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.9% −0.1 percentage points	Source for Anacta poll (opens in a new tab)
1 News–Verian	12 Oct 2026*	8 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026	1,007	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 28.0% ±0.0 percentage points National 28.0% −1.0 percentage points Green 15.0% −1.0 percentage points NZ First 10.0% ±0.0 percentage points ACT 10.0% +1.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 0.4% −0.2 percentage points	Source for 1 News–Verian poll (opens in a new tab)

* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.

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Government

Who governs now, and the parties behind the government.

Christopher Luxon

Prime Minister

Orientation

Centre-right

In office since

27 Nov 2023

Coalition

New Zealand National PartyLead partyCentre-right
ACT New ZealandCoalition partnerRight
New Zealand FirstCoalition partner

Source: Wikipedia · composition: cabinet · checked 9 Nov 2026

Past election results

2026 New Zealand general election · 7 Nov 2026

How people voted last time, and the change since the election before.

Vote share and seats by party, 2026 New Zealand general election, with change since 2023 New Zealand general election
Party	Vote	± pp	Seats
New Zealand Labour Party	29.4%	+2.4 percentage points	36
New Zealand National Party	29.2%	−8.9 percentage points	42
Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand	13.3%	+1.7 percentage points	16
ACT New Zealand	10.9%	+2.3 percentage points	13
New Zealand First	9.8%	+3.7 percentage points	12
Opportunity Party	6.0%	new	7
Te Pāti Māori	0.6%	−2.5 percentage points	5
Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party	0.2%	−0.3 percentage points	0
New Zealand Outdoors Party	0.1%	new	0
Animal Justice Party Aotearoa New Zealand	0.1%	−0.1 percentage points	0
Others (8)	0.4%		0

Change in percentage points vs 2023 New Zealand general election. 131 seats. Source: Wikipedia