New Zealand / Next New Zealand general election
The Post/Freshwater Strategy
Voting intention · fieldwork ended 19 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇳🇿 New Zealand
- Election
- Next New Zealand general election
- Polling institute
- The Post/Freshwater Strategy
- Published
- Not stated by the source
- Fieldwork
- 9 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026
- Sample size
- 1,458
- Margin of error
- ±2.6 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
The Post/Freshwater Strategy, 19 Oct 2026: New Zealand Labour leads with 28.7%, 1.1 points ahead of New Zealand National.
- New Zealand Labour Party28.7%+0.7 percentage points
- New Zealand National Party27.6%+0.6 percentage points
- Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand14.3%+0.3 percentage points
- New Zealand First11.8%−1.2 percentage points
- ACT New Zealand9.0%±0.0 percentage points
- Te Pāti Māori2.0%±0.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.