United States / Arizona / Senate Election
2024 United States Senate election in Arizona
Election date
Held on
Results
100% reporting ·
| Candidate | Votes | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben GallegoWinnerDemocratic Party | 1,676,335 | 50.1% | |
| Kari LakeRepublican Party | 1,595,761 | 47.6% | |
| Eduardo Heredia QuintanaGreen Party | 75,868 | 2.3% | |
| Sarah WilliamsLibertarian Party | 535 | 0.0% | |
| Christopher BeckettIndependent | 103 | 0.0% | |
| Steven Cavin SandersIndependent | 92 | 0.0% | |
| Jannie ProsserIndependent Republican | 82 | 0.0% |
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | Gallego | +5.2 | 2,030,648 |
| Pima | Gallego | +20.9 | 505,742 |
| Pinal | Lake | +14.0 | 206,941 |
| Yavapai | Lake | +27.8 | 147,860 |
| Mohave | Lake | +48.8 | 108,487 |
| Coconino | Gallego | +26.0 | 69,485 |
| Yuma | Lake | +10.5 | 67,107 |
| Cochise | Lake | +16.9 | 58,116 |
| Navajo | Lake | +10.0 | 50,476 |
| Apache | Gallego | +27.1 | 31,863 |
All 15 counties
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gila | Lake | +29.7 | 27,328 |
| Santa Cruz | Gallego | +29.6 | 18,975 |
| Graham | Lake | +41.0 | 14,993 |
| La Paz | Lake | +36.0 | 7,509 |
| Greenlee | Lake | +29.7 | 3,284 |
Shift against the 2024 presidential vote
Each county’s margin (Democrat minus Republican share) against the 2024 presidential race in the same county. Vote-weighted average over the 15 counties reporting in both: 7.9 pts toward D.
- 10+ toward R
- 5–10 toward R
- 2–5 toward R
- Within 2
- 2–5 toward D
- 5–10 toward D
- 10+ toward D
- Not in both races
| County | 2024 | Now | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenlee | R+40.9 | R+29.7 | 11.2 toward D |
| Santa Cruz | D+18.6 | D+29.6 | 11.0 toward D |
| Yuma | R+20.4 | R+10.5 | 10.0 toward D |
| Maricopa | R+3.5 | D+5.2 | 8.7 toward D |
| La Paz | R+44.2 | R+36.0 | 8.1 toward D |
| Pinal | R+22.1 | R+14.0 | 8.1 toward D |
| Apache | D+19.0 | D+27.0 | 8.1 toward D |
| Gila | R+37.6 | R+29.7 | 8.0 toward D |
| Navajo | R+17.2 | R+10.0 | 7.2 toward D |
| Graham | R+48.1 | R+41.0 | 7.1 toward D |
Updated
Polling trend
No polling data available for this election yet.
Latest polls
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.
No polling data available for this election yet.
Candidates
Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.
- Ruben GallegoDemocratic
- Kari LakeRepublican
- Eduardo Heredia QuintanaGreen
Government
Who governs Arizona now.
Katie Hobbs
Governor of Arizona