Arizona
Government
Katie Hobbs
Governor, Democratic Party, since 2 Jan 2023
Senate30 seats
Republican 16, Democratic 14
House of Representatives60 seats
Republican 32, Democratic 28
Races this cycle
2026 forecastNo governor or Senate race in Arizona this cycle.
Early vote
Ballots cast or requested before election day in Arizona, by voters’ registered party. As of 2 Nov 2026.
Mail ballots requested
3,331,514
- Republican Party1,184,22536%
- Democratic Party1,063,64932%
- Other1,083,64033%
Mail ballots returned
1,655,577
- Republican Party628,39738%
- Democratic Party615,08537%
- Other412,09525%
Mail ballots returned, day by day
Counties with the most mail ballots returned
| County | Ballots | Republican | Democratic | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | 973,135 | 38% | 37% | 25% |
| Pima | 280,001 | 28% | 47% | 25% |
| Pinal | 103,947 | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Yavapai | 89,649 | 53% | 23% | 23% |
| Mohave | 51,066 | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| Coconino | 34,959 | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| Yuma | 31,821 | 41% | 35% | 24% |
| Cochise | 29,977 | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| Navajo | 20,315 | 47% | 33% | 19% |
| Gila | 15,405 | 57% | 23% | 20% |
Latest Arizona polls
All US polls| Institute | Date | Fieldwork | Sample | MoE | Method | Voting intention | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D) | 30 Sept 2026* | 16 Sept 2026 – 30 Sept 2026 | 600 | ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Lake Research Partners (D) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| GrayHouse (R) | 30 Oct 2026 | 28 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026 | 500 | ±4.2 | — |
| Source for GrayHouse (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 30 Oct 2026 | 26 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026 | 511 | ±4.3 | — |
| Source for Noble Predictive Insights poll (opens in a new tab) |
| HighGround, Inc. | 27 Oct 2026 | 21 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026 | 400 | ±4.9 | — |
| Source for HighGround, Inc. poll (opens in a new tab) |
| RedBox Research | 25 Oct 2026 | 20 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026 | 2,686 | ±3.7 | — |
| Source for RedBox Research poll (opens in a new tab) |
| GrayHouse (R) | 23 Oct 2026 | 18 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026 | 550 | ±4.2 | — |
| Source for GrayHouse (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| HighGround, Inc. | 13 Oct 2026 | 6 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026 | 400 | ±4.9 | — |
| Source for HighGround, Inc. poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Wick | 13 Oct 2026 | 3 Oct 2026 – 6 Oct 2026 | 1,513 | ±2.6 | — |
| Source for Wick poll (opens in a new tab) |
| GrayHouse (R) | 11 Oct 2026 | 6 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026 | 550 | ±4.2 | — |
| Source for GrayHouse (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| GQR (D) | 7 Oct 2026 | 30 Sept 2026 – 5 Oct 2026 | 600 | ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for GQR (D) poll (opens in a new tab) |
- Lake Research Partners (D)
30 Sept 2026* · n=600 · MoE ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Hobbs (D)56.0%
- Biggs (R)33.0%
- GrayHouse (R)
30 Oct 2026 · n=500 · MoE ±4.2 · Method n/a
- Hobbs (D)50.0%
- Biggs (R)45.0%
- Noble Predictive Insights
30 Oct 2026 · n=511 · MoE ±4.3 · Method n/a
- Hobbs (D)51.0%
- Biggs (R)45.0%
- HighGround, Inc.
27 Oct 2026 · n=400 · MoE ±4.9 · Method n/a
- Hobbs (D)52.0%
- Biggs (R)39.0%
- RedBox Research
25 Oct 2026 · n=2,686 · MoE ±3.7 · Method n/a
- Hobbs (D)47.0%
- Biggs (R)42.0%
- GrayHouse (R)
23 Oct 2026 · n=550 · MoE ±4.2 · Method n/a
- Hobbs (D)51.0%
- Biggs (R)45.0%
- HighGround, Inc.
13 Oct 2026 · n=400 · MoE ±4.9 · Method n/a
- Hobbs (D)51.0%
- Biggs (R)34.0%
- GrayHouse (R)
11 Oct 2026 · n=550 · MoE ±4.2 · Method n/a
- Hobbs (D)50.0%
- Biggs (R)44.0%
- GQR (D)
7 Oct 2026 · n=600 · MoE ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Hobbs (D)49.0%
- Biggs (R)45.0%
* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.
Last governor election
2026 Arizona gubernatorial election ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote |
|---|
Source: Wikipedia
2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by county
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | Hobbs | +15.8 | 1,450,003 |
| Pima | Hobbs | +30.7 | 357,987 |
| Pinal | Biggs | +2.2 | 147,681 |
| Yavapai | Biggs | +21.8 | 119,902 |
| Mohave | Biggs | +43.7 | 74,805 |
| Coconino | Hobbs | +38.5 | 53,382 |
| Cochise | Biggs | +6.3 | 42,625 |
| Navajo | Biggs | +0.7 | 37,861 |
| Yuma | Hobbs | +5.5 | 30,546 |
| Apache | Hobbs | +38.1 | 25,707 |
Last presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Arizona ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump (R) | 52.2% | |
| Kamala Harris (D) | 46.7% | |
| Jill Stein (G) | 0.5% | |
| Chase Oliver (L) | 0.5% | |
| Claudia De la Cruz (I) | 0.0% | |
| Shiva Ayyadurai (I) | 0.0% | |
| Joel Skousen (I) | 0.0% |
Source: Wikipedia
2024 United States presidential election in Arizona by county
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | Trump | +3.5 | 2,054,415 |
| Pima | Harris | +15.2 | 513,436 |
| Pinal | Trump | +22.1 | 209,566 |
| Yavapai | Trump | +33.9 | 149,428 |
| Mohave | Trump | +55.8 | 110,457 |
| Coconino | Harris | +19.9 | 70,096 |
| Yuma | Trump | +20.4 | 68,199 |
| Cochise | Trump | +23.2 | 58,935 |
| Navajo | Trump | +17.2 | 50,715 |
| Apache | Harris | +19.0 | 32,023 |
Last Senate election
2024 United States Senate election in Arizona ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Ruben Gallego (D) | 50.1% | |
| Kari Lake (R) | 47.6% | |
| Eduardo Heredia Quintana (G) | 2.3% |
Source: Wikipedia
2024 United States Senate election in Arizona by county
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | Gallego | +5.2 | 2,030,648 |
| Pima | Gallego | +20.9 | 505,742 |
| Pinal | Lake | +14.0 | 206,941 |
| Yavapai | Lake | +27.8 | 147,860 |
| Mohave | Lake | +48.8 | 108,487 |
| Coconino | Gallego | +26.0 | 69,485 |
| Yuma | Lake | +10.5 | 67,107 |
| Cochise | Lake | +16.9 | 58,116 |
| Navajo | Lake | +10.0 | 50,476 |
| Apache | Gallego | +27.1 | 31,863 |