United States / 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election
Noble Predictive Insights
Voting intention · published 30 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇺🇸 United States
- Election
- 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election
- Polling institute
- Noble Predictive Insights
- Published
- 30 Oct 2026
- Fieldwork
- 26 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
- Sample size
- 511
- Margin of error
- ±4.3
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Noble Predictive Insights, 30 Oct 2026: Hobbs (D) leads with 51.0%, 6.0 points ahead of Biggs (R).
- Katie Hobbs (D)51.0%+3.0 percentage points
- Andy Biggs (R)45.0%+10.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.