United States / Georgia / Gubernatorial Election
Georgia polling average: Bottoms (D) 39.3% — Thurmond (D) 10.3% — Bottoms (D) +29.0Also: Esteves (D) 7.8% · Duncan (D) 7.3%Pollytic average to 4 May 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.
Held on
99% reporting ·
| Candidate | Votes | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keisha Lance BottomsProjected winnerDemocratic Party | 606,983 | 56.2% | |
| Jason EstevesDemocratic Party | 201,523 | 18.7% | |
| Michael ThurmondDemocratic Party | 139,552 | 12.9% | |
| Geoff DuncanDemocratic Party | 75,630 | 7.0% | |
| Derrick JacksonDemocratic Party | 24,977 | 2.3% | |
| Amanda DuffyDemocratic Party | 18,765 | 1.7% | |
| Olu BrownDemocratic Party | 12,291 | 1.1% |
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulton | Bottoms | +20.6 | 169,449 |
| DeKalb | Bottoms | +14.5 | 148,386 |
| Cobb | Bottoms | +30.2 | 96,191 |
| Gwinnett | Bottoms | +38.4 | 96,136 |
| Clayton | Bottoms | +50.3 | 43,473 |
| Henry | Bottoms | +52.7 | 40,410 |
| Chatham | Bottoms | +46.5 | 33,676 |
| Richmond | Bottoms | +53.5 | 27,134 |
| Muscogee | Bottoms | +62.5 | 23,415 |
| Douglas | Bottoms | +54.5 | 21,736 |
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bibb | Bottoms | +46.5 | 18,230 |
| Clarke | Bottoms | +5.1 | 18,031 |
| Rockdale | Bottoms | +43.9 | 17,531 |
| Fayette | Bottoms | +41.1 | 17,175 |
| Cherokee | Bottoms | +23.7 | 16,419 |
| Houston | Bottoms | +60.2 | 15,251 |
| Newton | Bottoms | +49.0 | 15,228 |
| Paulding | Bottoms | +51.0 | 13,850 |
| Forsyth | Bottoms | +23.4 | 12,883 |
| Columbia | Bottoms | +53.3 | 11,764 |
| Dougherty | Bottoms | +49.1 | 11,105 |
| Coweta | Bottoms | +43.5 | 10,706 |
| Hall | Bottoms | +25.3 | 9,083 |
| Lowndes | Bottoms | +58.5 | 6,828 |
| Carroll | Bottoms | +42.0 | 6,348 |
| Liberty | Bottoms | +66.1 | 6,036 |
| Spalding | Bottoms | +60.3 | 6,016 |
| Walton | Bottoms | +47.8 | 5,711 |
| Glynn | Bottoms | +39.5 | 5,604 |
| Floyd | Bottoms | +40.0 | 4,534 |
| Bartow | Bottoms | +35.9 | 4,492 |
| Troup | Bottoms | +58.5 | 4,258 |
| Baldwin | Bottoms | +45.9 | 4,223 |
| Barrow | Bottoms | +36.1 | 4,220 |
| Bulloch | Bottoms | +45.6 | 3,834 |
| Jackson | Bottoms | +36.9 | 3,390 |
| Laurens | Bottoms | +40.6 | 3,242 |
| Oconee | Bottoms | +17.8 | 3,219 |
| Effingham | Bottoms | +50.7 | 3,072 |
| Thomas | Bottoms | +51.9 | 3,063 |
| Bryan | Bottoms | +51.9 | 2,770 |
| Whitfield | Bottoms | +28.1 | 2,727 |
| Washington | Bottoms | +42.6 | 2,658 |
| Camden | Bottoms | +43.5 | 2,643 |
| Peach | Bottoms | +52.2 | 2,622 |
| Sumter | Bottoms | +52.1 | 2,609 |
| Harris | Bottoms | +58.6 | 2,558 |
| Burke | Bottoms | +36.3 | 2,391 |
| Lee | Bottoms | +57.0 | 2,274 |
| Jones | Bottoms | +52.0 | 2,268 |
| Monroe | Bottoms | +38.7 | 2,121 |
| Catoosa | Bottoms | +36.7 | 2,104 |
| Tift | Bottoms | +41.2 | 1,844 |
| Jefferson | Bottoms | +43.7 | 1,843 |
| Walker | Bottoms | +31.8 | 1,691 |
| Meriwether | Bottoms | +48.5 | 1,680 |
| Greene | Bottoms | +36.3 | 1,671 |
| Upson | Bottoms | +60.7 | 1,650 |
| Mitchell | Bottoms | +55.2 | 1,610 |
| Coffee | Bottoms | +37.0 | 1,501 |
| Morgan | Bottoms | +26.0 | 1,494 |
| Decatur | Bottoms | +51.2 | 1,491 |
| Butts | Bottoms | +46.5 | 1,489 |
| Hancock | Bottoms | +41.1 | 1,466 |
| McDuffie | Bottoms | +28.9 | 1,455 |
| Putnam | Bottoms | +35.2 | 1,425 |
| Colquitt | Bottoms | +43.8 | 1,371 |
| Madison | Bottoms | +12.2 | 1,368 |
| Polk | Bottoms | +45.4 | 1,367 |
| Gordon | Bottoms | +29.6 | 1,366 |
| Ware | Bottoms | +43.5 | 1,337 |
| Macon | Bottoms | +54.0 | 1,288 |
| Habersham | Bottoms | +25.9 | 1,269 |
| Emanuel | Bottoms | +70.3 | 1,237 |
| Lamar | Bottoms | +53.9 | 1,166 |
| McIntosh | Bottoms | +51.8 | 1,166 |
| Grady | Bottoms | +53.5 | 1,152 |
| Crisp | Bottoms | +56.5 | 1,126 |
| Union | Bottoms | +22.2 | 1,102 |
| Wayne | Bottoms | +50.4 | 1,042 |
| Lumpkin | Bottoms | +27.2 | 1,039 |
| Screven | Bottoms | +43.5 | 1,035 |
| Oglethorpe | Bottoms | +7.7 | 1,026 |
| Wilkinson | Bottoms | +40.9 | 1,015 |
| Pickens | Bottoms | +20.0 | 993 |
| Terrell | Bottoms | +49.8 | 983 |
| Gilmer | Bottoms | +32.7 | 972 |
| Dawson | Bottoms | +16.6 | 956 |
| Worth | Bottoms | +36.8 | 945 |
| Brooks | Bottoms | +46.3 | 936 |
| Talbot | Bottoms | +57.6 | 936 |
| Ben Hill | Bottoms | +49.8 | 926 |
| Elbert | Bottoms | +35.6 | 916 |
| Wilkes | Bottoms | +14.5 | 907 |
| Twiggs | Bottoms | +57.3 | 901 |
| Toombs | Bottoms | +54.3 | 891 |
| Hart | Bottoms | +38.6 | 888 |
| Long | Bottoms | +65.7 | 868 |
| White | Bottoms | +23.6 | 864 |
| Tattnall | Bottoms | +49.8 | 818 |
| Early | Bottoms | +52.3 | 817 |
| Fannin | Bottoms | +26.6 | 817 |
| Jasper | Bottoms | +43.8 | 763 |
| Rabun | Bottoms | +12.1 | 742 |
| Dooly | Bottoms | +49.5 | 728 |
| Cook | Bottoms | +59.4 | 722 |
| Dodge | Bottoms | +51.1 | 717 |
| Pike | Bottoms | +50.8 | 701 |
| Crawford | Bottoms | +52.2 | 691 |
| Randolph | Bottoms | +45.2 | 682 |
| Stephens | Bottoms | +39.3 | 675 |
| Appling | Bottoms | +44.8 | 628 |
| Lincoln | Bottoms | +56.3 | 625 |
| Towns | Bottoms | +19.0 | 589 |
| Chattooga | Bottoms | +40.4 | 577 |
| Haralson | Bottoms | +36.4 | 574 |
| Murray | Bottoms | +26.4 | 565 |
| Marion | Bottoms | +54.6 | 562 |
| Calhoun | Bottoms | +60.2 | 553 |
| Taylor | Bottoms | +32.5 | 548 |
| Turner | Bottoms | +48.4 | 546 |
| Warren | Bottoms | +37.4 | 546 |
| Treutlen | Bottoms | +57.3 | 529 |
| Telfair | Bottoms | +52.5 | 520 |
| Stewart | Bottoms | +58.0 | 486 |
| Bleckley | Bottoms | +49.2 | 445 |
| Jenkins | Bottoms | +48.1 | 439 |
| Candler | Bottoms | +54.2 | 437 |
| Pulaski | Bottoms | +63.2 | 435 |
| Evans | Bottoms | +56.3 | 430 |
| Montgomery | Bottoms | +61.6 | 424 |
| Johnson | Bottoms | +40.7 | 413 |
| Dade | Bottoms | +34.6 | 411 |
| Charlton | Bottoms | +36.0 | 403 |
| Franklin | Bottoms | +31.4 | 388 |
| Irwin | Bottoms | +39.3 | 384 |
| Seminole | Bottoms | +32.1 | 368 |
| Taliaferro | Bottoms | +35.7 | 347 |
| Jeff Davis | Bottoms | +52.2 | 343 |
| Berrien | Bottoms | +50.0 | 332 |
| Heard | Bottoms | +51.4 | 331 |
| Lanier | Bottoms | +57.6 | 323 |
| Pierce | Bottoms | +36.9 | 320 |
| Chattahoochee | Bottoms | +59.9 | 304 |
| Clay | Bottoms | +57.1 | 298 |
| Baker | Bottoms | +56.7 | 282 |
| Wheeler | Bottoms | +49.1 | 279 |
| Banks | Bottoms | +22.1 | 267 |
| Wilcox | Bottoms | +52.3 | 256 |
| Atkinson | Bottoms | +44.1 | 213 |
| Brantley | Bottoms | +36.6 | 213 |
| Bacon | Thurmond | +1.5 | 203 |
| Webster | Bottoms | +56.9 | 188 |
| Quitman | Bottoms | +61.1 | 185 |
| Clinch | Bottoms | +61.1 | 175 |
| Schley | Bottoms | +58.4 | 161 |
| Miller | Bottoms | +50.3 | 151 |
| Glascock | Bottoms | +22.9 | 48 |
| Echols | Bottoms | +23.2 | 43 |
Updated
The last polling average before the vote () against the actual result.
| Candidate | Average | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bottoms (D) | 39.3% | 56.2% | −16.9 |
| Esteves (D) | 7.8% | 18.7% | −10.9 |
| Thurmond (D) | 10.3% | 12.9% | −2.6 |
| Duncan (D) | 7.3% | 7.0% | +0.3 |
| Democratic | — | 1.1% | — |
Error = average − result, in percentage points. A dash means the party or candidate was missing from the average or the result; it is left out of both errors.
The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
Bottoms (D) leads the polling average in Georgia on 39.3%, 29.0 points ahead of Thurmond (D) (10.3%). The biggest shift over the past month is Bottoms (D), up 7.3 points.
2 polls from 2 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from University of Georgia, published 4 May 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.
Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.
Who governs Georgia now.
Brian Kemp
Governor of Georgia