United States / New York / Gubernatorial Election

2026 New York gubernatorial Republican primary

Name: 2026 New York gubernatorial Republican primary opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

New York polling average: Stefanik (R) 74.0% — Blakeman (R) 5.0% — Stefanik (R) +69.0Pollytic average to 12 Nov 2025: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Election date

Polling trend

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Select to compare	Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
	J.L. Partners (R)	12 Nov 2025	9 Nov 2025 – 10 Nov 2025	400	±4.9 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Stefanik (R) 74.0% new Blakeman (R) 5.0% new	Source for J.L. Partners (R) poll (opens in a new tab)

J.L. Partners (R)
12 Nov 2025 · n=400 · MoE ±4.9 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Stefanik (R)74.0%
- Blakeman (R)5.0%
View original source

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

Stefanik (R) leads the polling average in New York on 74.0%, 69.0 points ahead of Blakeman (R) (5.0%). No party has moved by a point or more over the past month.

1 poll from 1 institute was published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from J.L. Partners (R), published 12 Nov 2025. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Candidates

Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.

Elise StefanikRepublican
Bruce BlakemanRepublican

Government

Who governs New York now.

Kathy Hochul

Governor of New York

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

What the polls say

Stefanik (R) leads the polling average in New York on 74.0%, 69.0 points ahead of Blakeman (R) (5.0%). No party has moved by a point or more over the past month.