United States / Alaska / Senate Election

2026 United States Senate election in Alaska

Election date

Held on 3 Nov 2026

Live results

Counting74% reporting · 3 Nov 2026

Votes and vote share by candidate, Alaska US Senate
Candidate	Votes	Share
Mary PeltolaLeadingDemocratic Party	103,171	48.2%
Dan SullivanRepublican Party	102,617	47.9%
Gerald L. HeikesRepublican Party	4,851	2.3%
Dan SullivanRepublican Party	3,607	1.7%

How the count progressed

Mary PeltolaDan SullivanGerald L. HeikesVotes counted, times in UTC.

Updated 6 Nov, 13:04 UTC

Updating automatically

Polling trend

No polling data available for this election yet.

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

No polling data available for this election yet.

Candidates

Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.

Dan SullivanRepublicanIncumbent

Forecast

All 2026 races

How likely each side is to win, according to the main forecasters.

Tilt DForecast

Chance of winning: Mary Peltola (D) 62%, R (R) 38%

Cook Political ReportToss-up
Sabato's Crystal BallLean D
Inside ElectionsToss-up
Split TicketLean D

How the forecast has moved

Model

Chance of winning by party, one point per daily snapshot.

Show all 11 forecasters

Split Ticket

Decision Desk HQ

FiftyPlusOne

VoteHub

ElectIndex

CM Election Predictions

America First Insight

OpenSourceZone

Kalshi

Polymarket

PredictIt

Rating changes

CM Election Predictions:Toss-upLean R3 Nov
Kalshi:Lean DTilt D3 Nov
PredictIt:Lean DTilt D3 Nov
PredictIt:Tilt DLean D28 Oct
PredictIt:Lean DTilt D21 Oct
Model:Toss-upTilt D20 Oct
Sabato's Crystal Ball:Toss-upLean D20 Oct
VoteHub:Tilt DLean D4 Oct

Government

Who governs Alaska now.

Mike Dunleavy

Governor of Alaska

Candidate

Votes

Mary PeltolaLeadingDemocratic Party

103,171

48.2%

Dan SullivanRepublican Party

102,617

47.9%

Gerald L. HeikesRepublican Party

4,851

2.3%

Dan SullivanRepublican Party

3,607

1.7%

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

No polling data available for this election yet.