United States / Oregon / Senate Election
2026 United States Senate election in Oregon
Election date
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Live results
Counting84% reporting ·
| Candidate | Votes | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff MerkleyProjected winnerDemocratic Party | 994,322 | 57.4% | |
| David Brock SmithRepublican Party | 685,012 | 39.5% | |
| Chris HenryProgressive | 35,640 | 2.1% | |
| Gary Lyndon DyeLibertarian Party | 16,924 | 1.0% | |
| Write-inNonpartisan | 1,382 | 0.1% |
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Multnomah | Merkley | +66.6 | 325,638 |
| Clackamas | Merkley | +12.8 | 208,962 |
| Washington | Merkley | +38.2 | 175,438 |
| Lane | Merkley | +26.3 | 173,329 |
| Deschutes | Merkley | +15.5 | 107,459 |
| Jackson | Smith | +0.2 | 101,226 |
| Marion | Merkley | +5.2 | 87,995 |
| Linn | Smith | +20.7 | 59,988 |
| Douglas | Smith | +35.1 | 51,015 |
| Yamhill | Smith | +1.2 | 49,822 |
All 36 counties
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benton | Merkley | +40.7 | 43,038 |
| Josephine | Smith | +23.7 | 39,339 |
| Polk | Smith | +1.3 | 37,308 |
| Coos | Smith | +16.7 | 29,164 |
| Klamath | Smith | +37.4 | 28,726 |
| Columbia | Smith | +8.0 | 25,927 |
| Umatilla | Smith | +31.7 | 25,528 |
| Clatsop | Merkley | +16.3 | 19,899 |
| Lincoln | Merkley | +27.5 | 19,621 |
| Tillamook | Merkley | +2.4 | 14,407 |
| Crook | Smith | +48.0 | 13,893 |
| Union | Smith | +38.1 | 12,419 |
| Curry | Smith | +12.3 | 11,781 |
| Hood River | Merkley | +41.5 | 11,303 |
| Wasco | Merkley | +0.7 | 10,645 |
| Jefferson | Smith | +23.6 | 10,119 |
| Malheur | Smith | +38.1 | 8,966 |
| Baker | Smith | +43.4 | 8,193 |
| Wallowa | Smith | +34.2 | 4,540 |
| Morrow | Smith | +39.4 | 3,951 |
| Grant | Smith | +54.7 | 3,700 |
| Harney | Smith | +53.2 | 3,652 |
| Lake | Smith | +62.1 | 3,539 |
| Sherman | Smith | +52.9 | 1,015 |
| Gilliam | Smith | +35.3 | 978 |
| Wheeler | Smith | +44.0 | 757 |
How the count progressed
Updated
Updating automatically
Polling trend
No polling data available for this election yet.
Latest polls
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.
No polling data available for this election yet.
Forecast
All 2026 racesHow likely each side is to win, according to the main forecasters.
Likely DForecast
Chance of winning: Jeff Merkley (D) 82%, David Brock Smith (R) 18%
- Cook Political ReportSafe D
- Sabato's Crystal BallSafe D
- Inside ElectionsSafe D
- Split TicketSafe D
How the forecast has moved
Model
Chance of winning by party, one point per daily snapshot.
Show all 11 forecasters
Split Ticket
Decision Desk HQ
FiftyPlusOne
VoteHub
ElectIndex
CM Election Predictions
America First Insight
OpenSourceZone
Kalshi
Polymarket
PredictIt
Government
Who governs Oregon now.
Tina Kotek
Governor of Oregon