Estonia / Parliamentary Election

Next Estonian parliamentary election

Name: Next Estonian parliamentary election opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

Estonia polling average: Erakond Isamaa 23.0% — Eesti Keskerakond 21.1% — Erakond Isamaa +1.9Also: Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 14.8% · Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 13.1% · Reform 12.9% · Parempoolsed 8.1% …Pollytic average to 10 Dec 2025: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Election date

Polling trend

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
Kantar Emor	10 Dec 2025*	3 Dec 2025 – 10 Dec 2025	1,621	±2.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 23.6% −2.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 20.7% +1.7 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 14.6% −1.0 percentage points Reform 13.7% +2.1 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 11.7% −1.2 percentage points Parempoolsed 8.8% +0.1 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 2.6% +0.1 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.0% −0.3 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)
Turu-uuringute AS	10 Dec 2025*	4 Dec 2025 – 10 Dec 2025	877	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 22.0% ±0.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 22.0% +3.0 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 15.0% +2.0 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 15.0% ±0.0 percentage points Reform 12.0% −1.0 percentage points Parempoolsed 7.0% −2.0 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 1.0% −1.0 percentage points	Source for Turu-uuringute AS poll (opens in a new tab)
Kantar Emor	12 Nov 2025*	3 Nov 2025 – 12 Nov 2025	1,483	±2.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 25.6% +3.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 19.0% −0.8 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 15.6% +1.8 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 12.9% −2.0 percentage points Reform 11.6% −1.5 percentage points Parempoolsed 8.7% −0.6 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 2.5% ±0.0 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.3% +0.3 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)
Turu-uuringute AS	10 Nov 2025*	6 Nov 2025 – 10 Nov 2025	887	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 22.0% +1.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 19.0% +1.0 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 15.0% ±0.0 percentage points Reform 13.0% ±0.0 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 13.0% −1.0 percentage points Parempoolsed 9.0% ±0.0 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 2.0% −1.0 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Turu-uuringute AS poll (opens in a new tab)
Kantar Emor	13 Oct 2025*	3 Oct 2025 – 13 Oct 2025	1,684	±2.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 22.6% −1.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 19.8% +1.7 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 14.9% +2.5 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 13.8% −3.7 percentage points Reform 13.1% −1.1 percentage points Parempoolsed 9.3% +1.7 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 2.5% +0.5 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.0% −0.2 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)
Turu-uuringute AS	9 Oct 2025*	6 Oct 2025 – 9 Oct 2025	902	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 21.0% −5.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 18.0% +1.0 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 15.0% +2.0 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 14.0% +1.0 percentage points Reform 13.0% +2.0 percentage points Parempoolsed 9.0% −1.0 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 3.0% +1.0 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Turu-uuringute AS poll (opens in a new tab)
Kantar Emor	17 Sept 2025*	10 Sept 2025 – 17 Sept 2025	1,502	±2.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 23.6% −1.8 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 18.1% −0.5 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 17.5% +2.8 percentage points Reform 14.2% +3.7 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 12.4% −2.7 percentage points Parempoolsed 7.6% −0.1 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 2.0% −1.3 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.2% −0.3 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)
Turu-uuringute AS	9 Sept 2025*	4 Sept 2025 – 9 Sept 2025	891	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 26.0% +5.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 17.0% +1.0 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 13.0% −6.0 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 13.0% +2.0 percentage points Reform 11.0% +1.0 percentage points Parempoolsed 10.0% ±0.0 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 2.0% −3.0 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.0% +1.0 percentage points	Source for Turu-uuringute AS poll (opens in a new tab)
Kantar Emor	19 Aug 2025*	13 Aug 2025 – 19 Aug 2025	1,547	±2.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 25.4% +3.1 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 18.6% +1.6 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 15.1% −0.2 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 14.7% −1.5 percentage points Reform 10.5% −3.6 percentage points Parempoolsed 7.7% +0.1 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 3.3% +0.2 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.5% −0.2 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)
Turu-uuringute AS	11 Aug 2025*	7 Aug 2025 – 11 Aug 2025	892	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 21.0% −1.0 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 19.0% +2.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 16.0% +2.0 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 11.0% ±0.0 percentage points Reform 10.0% −9.0 percentage points Parempoolsed 10.0% +2.0 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 5.0% +1.0 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 0.0% −1.0 percentage points	Source for Turu-uuringute AS poll (opens in a new tab)
Kantar Emor	17 Jul 2025*	10 Jul 2025 – 17 Jul 2025	1,592	±2.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 22.3% −2.2 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 17.0% −1.1 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 16.2% +3.9 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 15.3% +1.7 percentage points Reform 14.1% −1.5 percentage points Parempoolsed 7.6% −0.2 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 3.1% −0.4 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.7% +0.3 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)
Kantar Emor	18 Jun 2025*	12 Jun 2025 – 18 Jun 2025	1,662	±2.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 24.5% −2.8 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 18.1% +0.8 percentage points Reform 15.6% +0.5 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 13.6% +1.7 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 12.3% +0.7 percentage points Parempoolsed 7.8% +0.2 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 3.5% −0.1 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.4% −0.4 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)
Turu-uuringute AS	13 Jun 2025*	5 Jun 2025 – 13 Jun 2025	908	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 22.0% ±0.0 percentage points Reform 19.0% +2.0 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 17.0% +2.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 14.0% −2.0 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 11.0% −1.0 percentage points Parempoolsed 8.0% +1.0 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 4.0% +1.0 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.0% −1.0 percentage points	Source for Turu-uuringute AS poll (opens in a new tab)
Kantar Emor	21 May 2025*	14 May 2025 – 21 May 2025	1,493	±2.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 27.3% +4.5 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 17.3% +0.8 percentage points Reform 15.1% −1.9 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 11.9% −2.9 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 11.6% −0.1 percentage points Parempoolsed 7.6% −0.9 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 3.6% +0.7 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.8% −0.6 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)
Turu-uuringute AS	7 May 2025*	2 May 2025 – 7 May 2025	893	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 22.0% +2.0 percentage points Reform 17.0% −2.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 16.0% ±0.0 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 15.0% −4.0 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 12.0% +3.0 percentage points Parempoolsed 7.0% −2.0 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Turu-uuringute AS poll (opens in a new tab)
Kantar Emor	15 Apr 2025*	9 Apr 2025 – 15 Apr 2025	1,488	±2.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 22.8% −2.4 percentage points Reform 17.0% −0.6 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 16.5% +0.5 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 14.8% +0.8 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 11.7% −0.2 percentage points Parempoolsed 8.5% +0.1 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 2.9% −0.1 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 2.4% +1.0 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)
Turu-uuringute AS	9 Apr 2025*	3 Apr 2025 – 9 Apr 2025	903	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 20.0% −9.0 percentage points Reform 19.0% +2.0 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 19.0% +2.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 16.0% +3.0 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 9.0% −1.0 percentage points Parempoolsed 9.0% +3.0 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 2.0% +1.0 percentage points	Source for Turu-uuringute AS poll (opens in a new tab)
Kantar Emor	19 Mar 2025*	12 Mar 2025 – 19 Mar 2025	1,587	±2.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 25.2% −4.2 percentage points Reform 17.6% +3.2 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 16.0% +0.8 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 14.0% −1.1 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 11.9% −1.3 percentage points Parempoolsed 8.4% +2.1 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 3.0% +0.4 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.4% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)
Turu-uuringute AS	12 Mar 2025*	6 Mar 2025 – 12 Mar 2025	891	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 29.0% +5.0 percentage points Reform 17.0% −1.0 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 17.0% +2.0 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 13.0% −2.0 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 10.0% −3.0 percentage points Parempoolsed 6.0% −2.0 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 3.0% −1.0 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.0% +1.0 percentage points	Source for Turu-uuringute AS poll (opens in a new tab)
Kantar Emor	19 Feb 2025*	13 Feb 2025 – 19 Feb 2025	1,612	±2.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Erakond Isamaa 29.4% +3.4 percentage points Eesti Keskerakond 15.2% +2.1 percentage points Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 15.1% +1.5 percentage points Reform 14.4% −1.4 percentage points Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 13.2% −2.3 percentage points Parempoolsed 6.3% −0.9 percentage points Erakond Eesti 200 2.6% −0.8 percentage points Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised 1.4% −1.3 percentage points	Source for Kantar Emor poll (opens in a new tab)

* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

Erakond Isamaa leads the polling average in Estonia on 23.0%, 1.9 points ahead of Eesti Keskerakond (21.1%). The biggest shift over the past month is Eesti Keskerakond, up 2.1 points.

3 polls from 2 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Kantar Emor, published 10 Dec 2025. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Parties

Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.

Erakond Isamaa
Eesti Keskerakond
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond
Eesti Reformierakond
Parempoolsed
Erakond Eesti 200
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised

Government

Who governs Estonia now.

Kristen Michal

Kristen Michal government