Estonia polling average: Erakond Isamaa 23.0% — Eesti Keskerakond 21.1% — Erakond Isamaa +1.9Also: Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond 14.8% · Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond 13.1% · Reform 12.9% · Parempoolsed 8.1% …Pollytic average to 10 Dec 2025: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
How to read a poll
Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.
What the polls say
Erakond Isamaa leads the polling average in Estonia on 23.0%, 1.9 points ahead of Eesti Keskerakond (21.1%). The biggest shift over the past month is Eesti Keskerakond, up 2.1 points.
3 polls from 2 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Kantar Emor, published 10 Dec 2025. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.
Government
Who governs now, and the parties behind the government.
Kristen Michal
Prime Minister
Orientation
Centre-right
In office since
Coalition
Eesti ReformierakondLead partyCentre-right
Erakond Eesti 200Coalition partnerCentre to centre-right