Bulgaria

Name: Bulgaria election opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

Bulgaria polling average: Progressive Bulgaria 38.2% — GERB–SDS 12.8% — Progressive Bulgaria +25.4Also: PP 11.2% · DB 7.5% · Movement for Rights and Freedoms 6.7% · Revival 5.9% …Pollytic average to 22 Oct 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Next election

Next Bulgarian parliamentary election

Parliamentary Election

Polling trend — Next Bulgarian parliamentary election

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

All Bulgaria polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
Gallup International	22 Oct 2026*	14 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026	1,001	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Progressive Bulgaria 35.6% new GERB–SDS 14.7% new PP 12.3% new Movement for Rights and Freedoms 7.0% new DB 6.7% new Revival 6.3% new Morality, Unity, Honour 3.2% new BSP 3.1% new Velichie 2.7% new None of the above 1.8% new	Source for Gallup International poll (opens in a new tab)
Market Links	19 Oct 2026*	13 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026	1,006	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Progressive Bulgaria 41.0% −1.2 percentage points PP 10.2% −0.8 percentage points GERB–SDS 9.7% −2.9 percentage points DB 8.8% ±0.0 percentage points Movement for Rights and Freedoms 6.5% +1.0 percentage points Revival 5.1% −1.5 percentage points None of the above 2.2% +0.2 percentage points	Source for Market Links poll (opens in a new tab)
Trend	2 Oct 2026*	26 Sept 2026 – 2 Oct 2026	1,003	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Progressive Bulgaria 40.8% new GERB–SDS 14.2% new PP 7.6% new DB 6.5% new Movement for Rights and Freedoms 6.2% new Revival 5.7% new Morality, Unity, Honour 3.8% new BSP 3.6% new Velichie 2.7% new	Source for Trend poll (opens in a new tab)
Market Links	29 Sept 2026*	26 Sept 2026 – 29 Sept 2026	1,006	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Progressive Bulgaria 42.2% −3.3 percentage points GERB–SDS 12.6% −2.2 percentage points PP 11.0% −5.7 percentage points DB 8.8% new Revival 6.6% +2.4 percentage points Movement for Rights and Freedoms 5.5% +0.6 percentage points None of the above 2.0% −0.7 percentage points	Source for Market Links poll (opens in a new tab)
Gallup	4 Aug 2026*	24 Jul 2026 – 4 Aug 2026	821	±3.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Progressive Bulgaria 44.4% new GERB–SDS 12.6% new PP 8.0% new Movement for Rights and Freedoms 7.4% new DB 6.6% new Revival 5.0% new BSP 3.7% new Velichie 2.3% new Morality, Unity, Honour 2.2% new Alliance for Rights and Freedoms 0.5% new	Source for Gallup poll (opens in a new tab)
Alpha Research	23 Jul 2026*	17 Jul 2026 – 23 Jul 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Progressive Bulgaria 46.8% new GERB–SDS 14.8% new PP 7.4% new DB 6.9% new Movement for Rights and Freedoms 5.9% new Revival 4.5% new BSP 3.2% new	Source for Alpha Research poll (opens in a new tab)
Market Links	19 Jul 2026*	11 Jul 2026 – 19 Jul 2026	1,002	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Progressive Bulgaria 45.5% −0.8 percentage points PP 16.7% +2.7 percentage points GERB–SDS 14.8% −0.7 percentage points Movement for Rights and Freedoms 4.9% −0.9 percentage points Revival 4.2% −0.8 percentage points None of the above 2.7% +0.8 percentage points	Source for Market Links poll (opens in a new tab)
Market Links	21 Jun 2026*	13 Jun 2026 – 21 Jun 2026	1,005	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Progressive Bulgaria 46.3% +0.6 percentage points GERB–SDS 15.5% −0.1 percentage points PP 14.0% +0.3 percentage points Movement for Rights and Freedoms 5.8% −1.0 percentage points Revival 5.0% +0.7 percentage points None of the above 1.9% +0.9 percentage points	Source for Market Links poll (opens in a new tab)
Market Links	27 May 2026*	16 May 2026 – 27 May 2026	1,008	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Progressive Bulgaria 45.7% new GERB–SDS 15.6% new PP 13.7% new Movement for Rights and Freedoms 6.8% new Revival 4.3% new None of the above 1.0% new	Source for Market Links poll (opens in a new tab)

Gallup International
22 Oct 2026* · n=1,001 · MoE ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Progressive Bulgaria35.6%
- GERB–SDS14.7%
- PP12.3%
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms7.0%
- DB6.7%
- Revival6.3%
- Morality, Unity, Honour3.2%
- BSP3.1%
- Velichie2.7%
- None of the above1.8%
View original source
Market Links
19 Oct 2026* · n=1,006 · MoE ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Progressive Bulgaria41.0%
- PP10.2%
- GERB–SDS9.7%
- DB8.8%
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms6.5%
- Revival5.1%
- None of the above2.2%
View original source
Trend
2 Oct 2026* · n=1,003 · MoE ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Progressive Bulgaria40.8%
- GERB–SDS14.2%
- PP7.6%
- DB6.5%
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms6.2%
- Revival5.7%
- Morality, Unity, Honour3.8%
- BSP3.6%
- Velichie2.7%
View original source
Market Links
29 Sept 2026* · n=1,006 · MoE ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Progressive Bulgaria42.2%
- GERB–SDS12.6%
- PP11.0%
- DB8.8%
- Revival6.6%
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms5.5%
- None of the above2.0%
View original source
Gallup
4 Aug 2026* · n=821 · MoE ±3.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Progressive Bulgaria44.4%
- GERB–SDS12.6%
- PP8.0%
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms7.4%
- DB6.6%
- Revival5.0%
- BSP3.7%
- Velichie2.3%
- Morality, Unity, Honour2.2%
- Alliance for Rights and Freedoms0.5%
View original source
Alpha Research
23 Jul 2026* · n=1,000 · MoE ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Progressive Bulgaria46.8%
- GERB–SDS14.8%
- PP7.4%
- DB6.9%
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms5.9%
- Revival4.5%
- BSP3.2%
View original source
Market Links
19 Jul 2026* · n=1,002 · MoE ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Progressive Bulgaria45.5%
- PP16.7%
- GERB–SDS14.8%
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms4.9%
- Revival4.2%
- None of the above2.7%
View original source
Market Links
21 Jun 2026* · n=1,005 · MoE ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Progressive Bulgaria46.3%
- GERB–SDS15.5%
- PP14.0%
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms5.8%
- Revival5.0%
- None of the above1.9%
View original source
Market Links
27 May 2026* · n=1,008 · MoE ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Progressive Bulgaria45.7%
- GERB–SDS15.6%
- PP13.7%
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms6.8%
- Revival4.3%
- None of the above1.0%
View original source

* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

Progressive Bulgaria leads the polling average in Bulgaria on 38.2%, 25.4 points ahead of GERB–SDS (12.8%). The biggest shift over the past month is Progressive Bulgaria, down 6.2 points.

4 polls from 3 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Gallup International, published 22 Oct 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Government

Who governs now, and the parties behind the government.

Rumen Radev

Prime Minister

Orientation

Left to centre-left

In office since

8 May 2026

Governing party

Progressive BulgariaLeft to centre-left

Source: Wikipedia · composition: cabinet · checked 9 Nov 2026

Past election results

2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election · 19 Apr 2026

How people voted last time, and the change since the election before.

Vote share and seats by party, 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election, with change since October 2024 Bulgarian parliamentary election
Party	Vote	± pp	Seats
Progressive Bulgaria	43.9%	new	131
GERB–SDS	13.2%	−12.3 percentage points	39
We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria	12.4%	−1.3 percentage points	37
Movement for Rights and Freedoms	7.0%	new	21
Revival	4.2%	−8.7 percentage points	12
Morality, Unity, Honour	3.2%	−1.3 percentage points	0
Velichie	3.1%	−0.8 percentage points	0
BSP – United Left	3.0%	−4.3 percentage points	0
Siyanie	2.8%	new	0
Alliance for Rights and Freedoms	1.5%	−5.7 percentage points	0
Others (16)	5.7%		0

Change in percentage points vs October 2024 Bulgarian parliamentary election. 240 seats. Source: Wikipedia