Ireland polling average: Sinn Féin 22.0% — Fine Gael 15.2% — Sinn Féin +6.8Also: Fianna Fáil 15.1% · Social Democrats 9.0% · Aontú 7.8% · Independent Ireland 7.8% …Pollytic average to 24 Oct 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
How to read a poll
Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.
What the polls say
Sinn Féin leads the polling average in Ireland on 22.0%, 6.8 points ahead of Fine Gael (15.2%). The biggest shift over the past month is Independent Ireland, up 3.3 points.
1 poll from 1 institute was published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Red C, published 24 Oct 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.
Government
Who governs now, and the parties behind the government.