Norway

Name: Norway election opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

Norway polling average: Fremskrittspartiet 33.6% — Arbeidarpartiet 22.0% — Fremskrittspartiet +11.6Also: Høyre 12.6% · Rødt 8.4% · Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.3% · Senterpartiet 5.2% …Pollytic average to 2 Nov 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Next election

2029 Norwegian parliamentary election

Parliamentary Election

1042days to go

17 Sept 2029

Polling trend — 2029 Norwegian parliamentary election

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

All Norway polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
InFact	2 Nov 2026*	2 Nov 2026 – 2 Nov 2026	1,181	±2.9 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fremskrittspartiet 34.2% −0.9 percentage points Labour 21.7% +0.2 percentage points Høyre 11.7% −0.2 percentage points Rødt 9.1% +0.7 percentage points Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.7% +2.1 percentage points Senterpartiet 4.8% −0.6 percentage points Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.8% −1.1 percentage points Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% −0.4 percentage points Venstre 3.5% +0.8 percentage points	Source for InFact poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	30 Oct 2026*	26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026	983	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fremskrittspartiet 32.2% +0.3 percentage points Labour 22.9% +1.5 percentage points Høyre 13.1% −1.2 percentage points Rødt 8.1% +1.1 percentage points Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.7% +0.1 percentage points Senterpartiet 5.4% ±0.0 percentage points Miljøpartiet De Grønne 4.1% +0.4 percentage points Venstre 4.0% −0.7 percentage points Kristelig Folkeparti 2.7% −1.1 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Opinion	23 Oct 2026*	19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fremskrittspartiet 37.6% +4.9 percentage points Labour 20.6% −1.7 percentage points Høyre 12.5% −0.3 percentage points Rødt 6.7% −2.5 percentage points Senterpartiet 5.7% +0.4 percentage points Miljøpartiet De Grønne 4.3% +0.9 percentage points Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.2% ±0.0 percentage points Kristelig Folkeparti 3.3% −0.2 percentage points Venstre 3.3% +0.3 percentage points	Source for Opinion poll (opens in a new tab)
Norstat	21 Oct 2026*	21 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fremskrittspartiet 31.6% +1.4 percentage points Labour 22.5% +0.5 percentage points Høyre 13.1% −2.6 percentage points Rødt 8.8% +1.2 percentage points Senterpartiet 5.1% −0.9 percentage points Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.1% +0.7 percentage points Miljøpartiet De Grønne 4.2% −0.5 percentage points Venstre 3.7% +0.9 percentage points Kristelig Folkeparti 3.1% −0.8 percentage points	Source for Norstat poll (opens in a new tab)
Respons Analyse	12 Oct 2026*	7 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fremskrittspartiet 33.9% +3.5 percentage points Labour 21.0% −3.3 percentage points Høyre 14.4% −1.6 percentage points Rødt 7.9% +1.5 percentage points Senterpartiet 4.9% +0.4 percentage points Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.3% −1.6 percentage points Miljøpartiet De Grønne 4.1% ±0.0 percentage points Kristelig Folkeparti 4.1% −0.1 percentage points Venstre 3.9% +0.3 percentage points	Source for Respons Analyse poll (opens in a new tab)
Opinion	10 Oct 2026*	5 Oct 2026 – 10 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fremskrittspartiet 32.7% +0.1 percentage points Labour 22.3% −0.1 percentage points Høyre 12.8% −0.9 percentage points Rødt 9.2% +1.2 percentage points Senterpartiet 5.3% −0.5 percentage points Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.2% −0.2 percentage points Kristelig Folkeparti 3.5% +0.4 percentage points Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.4% −1.0 percentage points Venstre 3.0% +0.5 percentage points	Source for Opinion poll (opens in a new tab)
Verian	7 Oct 2026*	1 Oct 2026 – 7 Oct 2026	983	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fremskrittspartiet 31.9% +2.7 percentage points Labour 21.4% −4.2 percentage points Høyre 14.3% −0.9 percentage points Rødt 7.0% +0.4 percentage points Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.6% +0.3 percentage points Senterpartiet 5.4% +0.8 percentage points Venstre 4.7% +1.7 percentage points Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% +0.3 percentage points Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.7% −0.6 percentage points	Source for Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Norfakta	7 Oct 2026*	6 Oct 2026 – 7 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fremskrittspartiet 33.2% −0.2 percentage points Labour 21.2% −2.8 percentage points Høyre 12.8% −0.4 percentage points Senterpartiet 6.2% +1.8 percentage points Rødt 6.2% −0.7 percentage points Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.5% +0.7 percentage points Miljøpartiet De Grønne 4.5% +0.3 percentage points Kristelig Folkeparti 4.0% +0.4 percentage points Venstre 3.3% −0.1 percentage points	Source for Norfakta poll (opens in a new tab)
InFact	1 Oct 2026*	1 Oct 2026 – 1 Oct 2026	2,907	±1.8 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fremskrittspartiet 35.1% +3.7 percentage points Labour 21.5% −0.5 percentage points Høyre 11.9% −1.8 percentage points Rødt 8.4% +1.3 percentage points Senterpartiet 5.4% +0.3 percentage points Miljøpartiet De Grønne 4.9% +0.1 percentage points Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% −0.1 percentage points Sosialistisk Venstreparti 3.6% −2.3 percentage points Venstre 2.7% −1.3 percentage points	Source for InFact poll (opens in a new tab)
Opinion	27 Sept 2026*	21 Sept 2026 – 27 Sept 2026	1,001	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fremskrittspartiet 32.6% +0.1 percentage points Labour 22.4% +1.8 percentage points Høyre 13.7% −0.6 percentage points Rødt 8.0% +0.1 percentage points Senterpartiet 5.8% +1.3 percentage points Miljøpartiet De Grønne 4.4% +0.7 percentage points Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.4% −0.6 percentage points Kristelig Folkeparti 3.1% −1.1 percentage points Venstre 2.5% −0.9 percentage points	Source for Opinion poll (opens in a new tab)

* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

Fremskrittspartiet leads the polling average in Norway on 33.6%, 11.6 points ahead of Labour (22.0%). The biggest shift over the past month is Sosialistisk Venstreparti, up 1.2 points.

8 polls from 6 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from InFact, published 2 Nov 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Government

Who governs now, and the parties behind the government.

Jonas Gahr Støre

Prime Minister

Orientation

Centre-left

In office since

14 Oct 2021

Coalition

ArbeidarpartietLead partyCentre-left
SenterpartietCoalition partnerCentre

Source: Wikipedia · composition: cabinet · checked 9 Nov 2026

Past election results

2025 Norwegian parliamentary election · 8 Sept 2025

How people voted last time, and the change since the election before.

Vote share and seats by party, 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election, with change since 2021 Norwegian parliamentary election
Party	Vote	± pp	Seats
Arbeidarpartiet	28.0%	+1.8 percentage points	53
Fremskrittspartiet	23.9%	+12.2 percentage points	47
Høyre	14.7%	−5.7 percentage points	24
Sosialistisk Venstreparti	5.6%	−2.0 percentage points	9
Senterpartiet	5.6%	−7.9 percentage points	9
Rødt	5.3%	+0.6 percentage points	9
Miljøpartiet De Grønne	4.7%	+0.8 percentage points	8
Kristelig Folkeparti	4.2%	+0.4 percentage points	7
Venstre	3.7%	−0.9 percentage points	3
Pensjonistpartiet	0.8%	+0.2 percentage points	0
Others (12)	3.5%		0

Change in percentage points vs 2021 Norwegian parliamentary election. 169 seats. Source: Wikipedia