Ireland / General Election

Next Irish general election

Name: Next Irish general election opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

Ireland polling average: Sinn Féin 22.0% — Fine Gael 15.2% — Sinn Féin +6.8Also: Fianna Fáil 15.1% · Social Democrats 9.0% · Aontú 7.8% · Independent Ireland 7.8% …Pollytic average to 24 Oct 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Election date

Polling trend

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
Red C	24 Oct 2026	21 Oct 2026	1,010	±3	—	Sinn Féin 22.0% +1.0 percentage points Fine Gael 15.0% −3.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 15.0% +1.0 percentage points Social Democrats 9.0% −2.0 percentage points Aontú 8.0% +1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 8.0% +3.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 4.0% +1.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Red C poll (opens in a new tab)
Red C	9 Sept 2026*	9 Sept 2026	1,010	±3	—	Sinn Féin 21.0% ±0.0 percentage points Fine Gael 18.0% ±0.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 14.0% ±0.0 percentage points Social Democrats 11.0% −1.0 percentage points Aontú 7.0% +1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 5.0% ±0.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 3.0% −1.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Red C poll (opens in a new tab)
Ipsos B&A	24 Sept 2026	22 Sept 2026 – 22 Sept 2026	—	—	—	Sinn Féin 23.0% −4.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 18.0% +1.0 percentage points Fine Gael 17.0% −1.0 percentage points Social Democrats 8.0% +2.0 percentage points Aontú 5.0% +2.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 4.0% +2.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% −1.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 3.0% +1.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Ipsos B&A poll (opens in a new tab)
Ireland Thinks	5 Sept 2026	4 Sept 2026 – 4 Sept 2026	1,044	±3.1	—	Sinn Féin 21.0% +1.0 percentage points Fine Gael 19.0% −1.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 17.0% +1.0 percentage points Social Democrats 10.0% ±0.0 percentage points Aontú 8.0% +1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 7.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Labour 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Ireland Thinks poll (opens in a new tab)
Ireland Thinks	2 Aug 2026	31 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026	1,384	±2.6 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fine Gael 20.0% ±0.0 percentage points Sinn Féin 20.0% +1.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 16.0% −1.0 percentage points Social Democrats 10.0% −2.0 percentage points Aontú 7.0% +1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 7.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Labour 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Ireland Thinks poll (opens in a new tab)
Ireland Thinks	4 Jul 2026	3 Jul 2026 – 3 Jul 2026	1,279	±2.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Fine Gael 20.0% +1.0 percentage points Sinn Féin 19.0% −1.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 17.0% +1.0 percentage points Social Democrats 12.0% ±0.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 7.0% −2.0 percentage points Aontú 6.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Labour 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Ireland Thinks poll (opens in a new tab)
Red C	27 Jun 2026	24 Jun 2026 – 24 Jun 2026	1,010	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 21.0% ±0.0 percentage points Fine Gael 18.0% +1.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 14.0% −1.0 percentage points Social Democrats 12.0% +2.0 percentage points Aontú 6.0% −1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 5.0% −2.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Red C poll (opens in a new tab)
Ireland Thinks	6 Jun 2026	5 Jun 2026 – 5 Jun 2026	1,625	±2.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 20.0% −2.0 percentage points Fine Gael 19.0% +2.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 16.0% −1.0 percentage points Social Democrats 12.0% +3.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 9.0% ±0.0 percentage points Aontú 6.0% −1.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Labour 3.0% −1.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Ireland Thinks poll (opens in a new tab)
Red C	30 May 2026	27 May 2026 – 27 May 2026	1,010	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 21.0% −4.0 percentage points Fine Gael 17.0% +1.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 15.0% −1.0 percentage points Social Democrats 10.0% +2.0 percentage points Aontú 7.0% +1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 7.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 4.0% +1.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Red C poll (opens in a new tab)
Ireland Thinks	2 May 2026	1 May 2026 – 1 May 2026	1,774	±2.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 22.0% ±0.0 percentage points Fine Gael 17.0% ±0.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 17.0% −2.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 9.0% +3.0 percentage points Social Democrats 9.0% ±0.0 percentage points Aontú 7.0% +1.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 2.0% −1.0 percentage points	Source for Ireland Thinks poll (opens in a new tab)
Red C	25 Apr 2026	22 Apr 2026 – 22 Apr 2026	1,008	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 25.0% +1.0 percentage points Fine Gael 16.0% −2.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 16.0% ±0.0 percentage points Social Democrats 8.0% ±0.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 7.0% +2.0 percentage points Aontú 6.0% ±0.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Red C poll (opens in a new tab)
Ireland Thinks	5 Apr 2026	3 Apr 2026 – 3 Apr 2026	1,286	±2.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 22.0% −2.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 19.0% −1.0 percentage points Fine Gael 17.0% ±0.0 percentage points Social Democrats 9.0% +1.0 percentage points Aontú 6.0% +1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 6.0% +1.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% −1.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% +1.0 percentage points	Source for Ireland Thinks poll (opens in a new tab)
Red C	28 Mar 2026	25 Mar 2026 – 25 Mar 2026	1,010	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 24.0% +1.0 percentage points Fine Gael 18.0% ±0.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 16.0% −1.0 percentage points Social Democrats 8.0% −1.0 percentage points Aontú 6.0% +1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 5.0% +1.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% −1.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Red C poll (opens in a new tab)
Red C	22 Feb 2026	19 Feb 2026 – 19 Feb 2026	1,010	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 23.0% −1.0 percentage points Fine Gael 18.0% ±0.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 17.0% +2.0 percentage points Social Democrats 9.0% −1.0 percentage points Aontú 5.0% ±0.0 percentage points Labour 5.0% ±0.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% +1.0 percentage points	Source for Red C poll (opens in a new tab)
Red C	24 Jan 2026	21 Jan 2026 – 21 Jan 2026	1,010	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 24.0% +2.0 percentage points Fine Gael 18.0% +1.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 15.0% −3.0 percentage points Social Democrats 10.0% +2.0 percentage points Aontú 5.0% −1.0 percentage points Labour 5.0% +1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 3.0% +1.0 percentage points Green 2.0% −1.0 percentage points	Source for Red C poll (opens in a new tab)
Ireland Thinks	7 Dec 2025	5 Dec 2025 – 5 Dec 2025	1,069	±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 24.0% +1.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 20.0% +2.0 percentage points Fine Gael 17.0% −2.0 percentage points Social Democrats 8.0% −1.0 percentage points Aontú 5.0% −1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 5.0% ±0.0 percentage points Labour 5.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Ireland Thinks poll (opens in a new tab)
Red C	30 Nov 2025	26 Nov 2025 – 26 Nov 2025	1,010	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 22.0% +1.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 18.0% −1.0 percentage points Fine Gael 17.0% −1.0 percentage points Social Democrats 8.0% +1.0 percentage points Aontú 6.0% +1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 4.0% −1.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 2.0% −1.0 percentage points	Source for Red C poll (opens in a new tab)
Ireland Thinks	1 Nov 2025	31 Oct 2025 – 31 Oct 2025	1,609	±2.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 23.0% +3.0 percentage points Fine Gael 19.0% −2.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 18.0% −4.0 percentage points Social Democrats 9.0% +2.0 percentage points Aontú 6.0% +2.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 5.0% +1.0 percentage points Labour 5.0% +1.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for Ireland Thinks poll (opens in a new tab)
Ipsos B&A	18 Oct 2025	15 Oct 2025 – 15 Oct 2025	1,200	±2.8 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Sinn Féin 27.0% +1.0 percentage points Fine Gael 18.0% +2.0 percentage points Fianna Fáil 17.0% −5.0 percentage points Social Democrats 6.0% −1.0 percentage points Labour 5.0% +1.0 percentage points Green 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Aontú 3.0% +2.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 2.0% −1.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 2.0% new	Source for Ipsos B&A poll (opens in a new tab)
Ireland Thinks	5 Sept 2025	5 Sept 2025 – 5 Sept 2025	—	—	—	Fianna Fáil 22.0% +2.0 percentage points Fine Gael 21.0% +1.0 percentage points Sinn Féin 20.0% ±0.0 percentage points Social Democrats 7.0% −1.0 percentage points Aontú 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points Independent Ireland 4.0% −1.0 percentage points Labour 4.0% ±0.0 percentage points PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity 3.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 2.0% +1.0 percentage points	Source for Ireland Thinks poll (opens in a new tab)

* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

Sinn Féin leads the polling average in Ireland on 22.0%, 6.8 points ahead of Fine Gael (15.2%). The biggest shift over the past month is Independent Ireland, up 3.3 points.

1 poll from 1 institute was published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Red C, published 24 Oct 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Parties

Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.

Sinn Féin
Fine Gael
Fianna Fáil
Social Democrats
Aontú
Independent Ireland
Labour
PBP–Solidarity•People Before Profit•Solidarity
Green

Government

Who governs Ireland now.

Micheál Martin

Micheál Martin government