United States / 2026 United States Senate election in Arkansas
2040 Strategy Group (D)
Voting intention · published 30 Jul 2026
- Country
- 🇺🇸 United States
- Election
- 2026 United States Senate election in Arkansas
- Polling institute
- 2040 Strategy Group (D)
- Published
- 30 Jul 2026
- Fieldwork
- 17 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026
- Sample size
- 586
- Margin of error
- ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
2040 Strategy Group (D), 30 Jul 2026: Cotton (R) leads with 46.0%, 3.0 points ahead of Shoffner (D).
- Tom Cotton (R)46.0%new
- Hallie Shoffner (D)43.0%new
No earlier poll by this institute for this election, so no change is shown.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.