Canada / 46th Canadian federal election
Liaison Strategies
Voting intention · published 5 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇨🇦 Canada
- Election
- 46th Canadian federal election
- Polling institute
- Liaison Strategies
- Published
- 5 Oct 2026
- Fieldwork
- 3 Oct 2026
- Sample size
- 1,526
- Margin of error
- ±2.5
- Methodology
- IVR
Results
Liaison Strategies, 5 Oct 2026: Liberal Party of Canada leads with 46.0%, 18.0 points ahead of Conservative Party of Canada.
- Liberal Party of Canada46.0%±0.0 percentage points
- Conservative Party of Canada28.0%−1.0 percentage points
- New Democratic Party15.0%±0.0 percentage points
- Bloc Québécois6.0%±0.0 percentage points
- Green Party of Canada2.0%±0.0 percentage points
- People's Party of Canada2.0%±0.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.