Canada / 46th Canadian federal election
Nanos Research
Voting intention · published 19 Jan 2026
- Country
- 🇨🇦 Canada
- Election
- 46th Canadian federal election
- Polling institute
- Nanos Research
- Published
- 19 Jan 2026
- Fieldwork
- 16 Jan 2026
- Sample size
- 1,084
- Margin of error
- ±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Telephone
Results
Nanos Research, 19 Jan 2026: Liberal Party of Canada leads with 38.8%, 4.0 points ahead of Conservative Party of Canada.
- Liberal Party of Canada38.8%±0.0 percentage points
- Conservative Party of Canada34.8%−0.7 percentage points
- New Democratic Party11.5%+0.6 percentage points
- Bloc Québécois7.7%+0.1 percentage points
- Green Party of Canada4.6%+0.7 percentage points
- People's Party of Canada2.4%+0.3 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.