Canada / 46th Canadian federal election
Nanos Research
Voting intention · published 21 Oct 2025
- Country
- 🇨🇦 Canada
- Election
- 46th Canadian federal election
- Polling institute
- Nanos Research
- Published
- 21 Oct 2025
- Fieldwork
- 17 Oct 2025
- Sample size
- 1,021
- Margin of error
- ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Telephone
Results
Nanos Research, 21 Oct 2025: Liberal Party of Canada leads with 39.3%, 2.7 points ahead of Conservative Party of Canada.
- Liberal Party of Canada39.3%+0.8 percentage points
- Conservative Party of Canada36.6%−0.2 percentage points
- New Democratic Party12.1%−0.1 percentage points
- Bloc Québécois6.8%+0.3 percentage points
- Green Party of Canada2.8%−1.1 percentage points
- People's Party of Canada1.3%−0.1 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.