Japan / Next Japanese general election
Senkyo.com/JX
Voting intention · published 14 Jul 2026
- Country
- 🇯🇵 Japan
- Election
- Next Japanese general election
- Polling institute
- Senkyo.com/JX
- Published
- 14 Jul 2026
- Fieldwork
- 11 Jul 2026 – 12 Jul 2026
- Sample size
- 1,027
- Margin of error
- ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Senkyo.com/JX, 14 Jul 2026: Liberal Democratic leads with 28.4%, 20.3 points ahead of Sanseitō.
- Liberal Democratic Party28.4%−2.6 percentage points
- Sanseitō8.1%+0.4 percentage points
- Democratic Party For the People7.3%−1.1 percentage points
- Centrist Reform Alliance6.8%−0.3 percentage points
- Japan Innovation Party6.6%+0.5 percentage points
- Japanese Communist Party6.0%+0.1 percentage points
- Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan5.4%+0.1 percentage points
- Conservative Party of Japan4.7%+0.6 percentage points
- Team Mirai4.3%−1.2 percentage points
- Komeito2.2%+0.3 percentage points
- Reiwa Shinsengumi1.7%−0.1 percentage points
- Social Democratic Party0.9%−0.5 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.