Japan polling average: Liberal Democratic 29.3% — Democratic Party For the People 9.2% — Liberal Democratic +20.1Also: Japan Innovation Party 7.8% · Team Mirai 7.0% · Japanese Communist Party 6.7% · Sanseitō 6.1% …Pollytic average to 17 Sept 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.
Election date
Polling trend
The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated
Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.
Latest polls
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
How to read a poll
Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.
What the polls say
Liberal Democratic leads the polling average in Japan on 29.3%, 20.1 points ahead of Democratic Party For the People (9.2%). The biggest shift over the past month is Liberal Democratic, up 3.8 points.
1 poll from 1 institute was published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Senkyo.com/JX, published 17 Sept 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.
Parties
Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.