Japan / Next Japanese general election
Senkyo.com/JX
Voting intention · published 18 Aug 2026
- Country
- 🇯🇵 Japan
- Election
- Next Japanese general election
- Polling institute
- Senkyo.com/JX
- Published
- 18 Aug 2026
- Fieldwork
- 15 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026
- Sample size
- 1,016
- Margin of error
- ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Senkyo.com/JX, 18 Aug 2026: Liberal Democratic leads with 25.4%, 16.1 points ahead of Democratic Party For the People.
- Liberal Democratic Party25.4%−3.0 percentage points
- Democratic Party For the People9.3%+2.0 percentage points
- Sanseitō8.6%+0.5 percentage points
- Japan Innovation Party6.8%+0.2 percentage points
- Japanese Communist Party6.5%+0.5 percentage points
- Centrist Reform Alliance6.4%−0.4 percentage points
- Team Mirai6.2%+1.9 percentage points
- Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan6.0%+0.6 percentage points
- Conservative Party of Japan4.7%±0.0 percentage points
- Komeito2.4%+0.2 percentage points
- Reiwa Shinsengumi1.0%−0.7 percentage points
- Social Democratic Party0.7%−0.2 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.