Canada / 46th Canadian federal election
Spark Insights
Voting intention · published 3 Jun 2025
- Country
- 🇨🇦 Canada
- Election
- 46th Canadian federal election
- Polling institute
- Spark Insights
- Published
- 3 Jun 2025
- Fieldwork
- 30 May 2025
- Sample size
- 3,450
- Margin of error
- ±1.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Online
Results
Spark Insights, 3 Jun 2025: Liberal Party of Canada leads with 41.0%, 1.0 points ahead of Conservative Party of Canada.
- Liberal Party of Canada41.0%new
- Conservative Party of Canada40.0%new
- New Democratic Party8.0%new
- Bloc Québécois7.0%new
No earlier poll by this institute for this election, so no change is shown.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.