Italy / Next Italian General Election
Termometro Politico
Voting intention · fieldwork ended 3 Jul 2025
- Country
- 🇮🇹 Italy
- Election
- Next Italian General Election
- Polling institute
- Termometro Politico
- Published
- Not stated by the source
- Fieldwork
- 2 Jul 2025 – 3 Jul 2025
- Sample size
- 2,600
- Margin of error
- ±1.9 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Termometro Politico, 3 Jul 2025: Fratelli d'Italia leads with 29.4%, 7.4 points ahead of Partito Democratico.
- Fratelli d'Italia29.4%−0.3 percentage points
- Partito Democratico22.0%−0.3 percentage points
- Movimento 5 Stelle12.4%+0.4 percentage points
- Forza Italia8.5%−0.4 percentage points
- Lega per Salvini Premier8.4%+0.1 percentage points
- Alleanza Verdi e Sinistra6.6%+0.3 percentage points
- Azione3.0%+0.3 percentage points
- Italia Viva2.3%−0.1 percentage points
- Più Europa1.9%−0.1 percentage points
- Democrazia Sovrana Popolare1.5%new
- Noi Moderati1.1%−0.1 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.